Models now in good agreement. With landfall above the deleware, and winds affecting from Long Island
to the Ches Bay.
Peak winds in the Cheas Bay are forecast for Monday. For the North bay (galesville area) the peak winds are: "Mon..N winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts to 60 kt", and further South in the bay (deltaville area) the peak is for: Mon..NW winds 35 to 40 kt with gusts to around 50 kt.
For Block island the peak is forecast for Monday night: Mon night..E winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 65 kt, and for Southport. CT (halfway down long island): Mon night..E winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 65 kt.
Then it takes a 'Great tour'.
First going west (very unusual) inland and starts to weaken. This will (on 10/30) swing the winds in the Ches around to the SW:
Then (10/31) it goes North (to the great lakes):
By 11/2 it starts coming back east along the lakes as a weak low - creating the start of very nice westerly passages winds.
And a high pressure starts to fill in on 11/4: