'09 Hurricane Season Less Active?

[weathernms]

After several years of above average tropical activity, consensus has grown that this hurricane season will be less active than previous years.

Early Hurricane Season 2009 forecasts, called for 11-14 tropical systems, which is around average and or just above, compared to the long term trends.

Full details:
Jackson Weather Examiner: Hurricane Season 2009 projected to be less active

[GordMay]

Greetings, and welcome aboard weathernms.

Yep, looks like an average season, rather than more active.

NOAA Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook:
NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center calls for a 50 percent probability of a near-normal season, a 25 percent probability of an above-normal season and a 25 percent probability of a below-normal season.
➥ NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA Issues Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, Encourages Preparedness

Klotzbach and Gray Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast:
We foresee average activity for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season.
➥ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/...09/apr2009.pdf