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avb3 · 04-06-2013, 13:17

Florida needs a very long long wet season. Water table levels are extremely low and it would not hurt to have an above average rainfall season. Hurricanes of course are not welcome, however if the outer bands kind of brush by most of Florida and dump their water it would be much appreciated.

I'm heading back to Western Canada this weekend, so I hope to see that everything is great when I get back in the late fall.

Kettlewell · 04-06-2013, 13:22

Quote:

Florida needs a very long long wet season. Water table levels are extremely low and it would not hurt to have an above average rainfall season. Hurricanes of course are not welcome, however if the outer bands kind of brush by most of Florida and dump their water it would be much appreciated.

Plus, it gives a good flush to all the inadequate sewer systems in the state.

Kettlewell · 05-06-2013, 13:53

It has been upgraded to 60% likely to turn into a tropical depression. Watch out northern Florida!

Quote:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDS
TO NEAR GALE FORCE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SATELLITE
AND SURFACE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE CIRCULATION REMAINS POORLY
DEFINED...HOWEVER AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM BEFORE IT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN
FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

Kettlewell · 05-06-2013, 14:55

It has turned into Tropical Storm Andrea:

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Quote:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 052126
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION ON THE LOW PRESSURE AREA
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IN THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EAST-
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. BASED ON THIS
FINDING...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL INITIATE ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

**boatman61** · 05-06-2013, 15:18

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kettlewell

It has turned into Tropical Storm Andrea:

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Wheeeeeee... gonna be a fun run to the Azores later this month...

zeehag · 05-06-2013, 17:31

be safe.

**boatman61** · 05-06-2013, 17:44

Quote:

Originally Posted by zeehag

be safe.

Always....

Kettlewell · 05-06-2013, 18:18

Looks like it will be crossing Florida and coming right up along the southeast coastline to Cape Hatteras. Hope there isn't anybody out there not paying attention headed north in the Gulf Stream from the Bahamas or Florida.

SmartMove · 05-06-2013, 19:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by boatman61

Wheeeeeee... gonna be a fun run to the Azores later this month...

Take care & be safe!

We are hoping for no drama on our run from Puerto Rico to Grenada next month.

Rakuflames · 05-06-2013, 20:02

Quote:

Originally Posted by SmartMove

Take care & be safe!

We are hoping for no drama on our run from Puerto Rico to Grenada next month.

Well, if the forecast is for "drama" I hope you'll postpone!

bobconnie · 05-06-2013, 20:14

They are gonna Name all the storms now! Cus if they have a name the Insurance Deductables go's up !! Theres a method to there madness !! LOL

Rakuflames · 05-06-2013, 21:01

Quote:

Originally Posted by bobconnie

They are gonna Name all the storms now! Cus if they have a name the Insurance Deductables go's up !! Theres a method to there madness !! LOL

I think they could care less what the insurance companies do. They make their money from headlines. Names mean headlines.

SmartMove · 06-06-2013, 03:12

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rakuflames

Well, if the forecast is for "drama" I hope you'll postpone!

Our plan is to avoid the "drama" and getting to Grenada sooner than later should greatly enhance the plan.

**capngeo** · 06-06-2013, 03:58

We had the first rumblings of the low last week in Key West. I went up to Sarasota. Guess who followed me? Andrea! We are getting feeder bands right now.