Hurricane Irma Predicted Landfall in USA and Tidal Surge Predictions

[Steadman Uhlich]

The following are the predicted landfall dates for Hurricane Irma to reach coastal USA, with the possible storm surge and important tide times.

This was reported at 8:00AM on Saturday September 9, 2017.
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Note the storm surge forecasts are a worst-case scenario if they are timed with high tide and are courtesy of the National Hurricane Center.


Key West, Florida

Peak storm surge forecast: 5 to 10 feet
Important high tide times: Sunday 12:55 a.m., 1:45 p.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Early Sat. afternoon
Hurricane-force winds begin: Sat. evening
Strongest winds, timing: Sunday morning, possibly lingering into early afternoon
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Miami, Florida

Peak storm surge forecast: 5 to 10 feet, especially in south Miami-Dade
Important high tide times (Virginia Key): Sunday 12:13 a.m., 12:50 p.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Saturday afternoon
Hurricane-force winds begin: Sunday morning
Strongest winds, timing: Early Sunday afternoon
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Naples/Ft. Myers, Florida

Peak storm surge forecast: 8 to 12 feet
High tide times (Naples): Sunday 3:02 a.m., 4:07 p.m.; Monday 3:40 a.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Saturday evening
Hurricane-force winds begin: Late Sunday morning
Strongest winds, timing: Sunday night
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Tampa/St. Petersburg, Florida

Peak storm surge forecast: 3 to 5 feet
High tide times (McKay Bay/Tampa): Monday 5:13 a.m. and 7:21 p.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Sunday afternoon
Hurricane-force winds begin: Sunday night
Strongest winds, timing: Late Sunday night/early Monday morning
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Jacksonville, Florida

Important high tide times: Sunday 12:19 p.m.; Monday 12:39 a.m. and 1:12 p.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Sunday night
Strongest winds, timing: Early Monday morning
While Irma will be weakening over land, it will still have significant impacts over parts of Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee and Alabama. Here are some potential city impact forecasts in the rest of the Southeast:

[Steadman Uhlich]

Prediction: Path
Published by NOAA 8:00PM Saturday

[JPA Cate]

Thanks, Steady, good info.

I am so glad it is ameliorating.

Ann

[atoll]

thanks for that,one of my friends is sitting on his boat up a creek in miami.currently.
just had 2 water spouts heading his way was the last i heard a few hour ago......

hopefully he knows something we don't...he does keep a fender called wilson for company.......

[daletournier]

Does anyone know if the keys did get a big storm surge? Ive got a good mate there, we've been communicating via whats app but no longer can.

[MV Wanderlust]

Originally Posted by daletournier

Does anyone know if the keys did get a big storm surge? Ive got a good mate there, we've been communicating via whats app but no longer can.

The eye made landfall in the Lower Keys about an hour ago. News feed showed footage of the surf crashing over the sea wall and hit the Southernmost Point marker at the end of the strip. The worst surge will come on the backside of the eye as it pulls in water from the Gulf.

[duefocena]

Just received email from friend in Sin Maarten. "Extremely dire here".

[Steadman Uhlich]

Excellent drone video of Nanny Cay marina (Nanny Cay, Tortola, BVI), showing many boats damaged and many boats upside down due to Hurricane Irma.

https://youtu.be/keCJwQsKBh0

[Ardbeg]

Very bad news for Caribbean. Makes me ask the questions; how will they dispose of all the fibreglass? Can it be recycled?. What will they do with it on the islands?
Many questions, I know.

[grantmc]

Originally Posted by ardbeg

Very bad news for Caribbean. Makes me ask the questions; how will they dispose of all the fibreglass? Can it be recycled?. What will they do with it on the islands?
Many questions, I know.

That's a question I'd wondered too. Fibreglass is almost impossible to recycle and even just reducing a boat down down in to small pieces, say with a chainsaw, takes considerable time and fuel.
It will be interesting to see what does happen.
Lots of fuel and oil must be leaking out too from the upturned boats. Quite an environmental disaster.

[Steadman Uhlich]

See a satellite view of Hurricane #Irma moving in on Florida, seen over the last 24-hours. Watch & get more data on this storm: http://go.nasa.gov/2eY9Rbj


http://go.nasa.gov/2eY9Rbj

[maqhth]

Originally Posted by ardbeg

Very bad news for Caribbean. Makes me ask the questions; how will they dispose of all the fibreglass? Can it be recycled?. What will they do with it on the islands?
Many questions, I know.

They might need an infusion of weapons grade polyestermites, I say!

geo

[Flyingriki]

Have been looking all day for information on actual storm surge. All predictipns and NO real news.
Anybody find differently?

[Saleen411]

Originally Posted by Flyingriki

Have been looking all day for information on actual storm surge. All predictipns and NO real news.
Anybody find differently?

Yea...was wondering the same thing. Live newscaster said storm surge may be an issue tomorrow in some areas.