Quote:
Originally Posted by thinwater
Yup, you are lost in space.
a. I didn't suggest that there was always a long period thunder, I suggested that thunderstorms were in the forecast. In fact, there is often little thunder before the initial gust front. I'm also pretty certain there where dark clouds in the distance. These are a prerequisite for thunder, since it requires consider able circulation. And a 50 kt down draft requires a tall cloud. Am I wrong about these things? You did not say that I was.
b. Being commonplace to leave a dinghy in the water does not make it smart. I have davits and don't leave the dinghy in the water, hardly ever. Now you know one reason. But wakes can also be a problem.
Yes, planing is useful, but I gave you my opinion. I assumed that you wanted something light that would be easy to hoist on the davits, since you elected not to bother to lift the dinghy the few inches out of the water, which would have avoided the problem. An incorrect assumption.
Perhaps I seem like a smartass, but that was not my intention and I am sorry you took it that way. But you continue to argue that you did not make a basic error. The important lesson is that weather is predictable in its unpredictability in the summer. A very important lesson. I've been sailing 40 years and I've learned and relearned this lesson many times. I only get surprised by weather when I am guilty of not paying attention... which happens, though not often, not anymore.
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Since we're apparently turning this thread into a spat about which one of us understands the situation I was in better (spoiler, only one of us was there)...
Here's a link to a story I just saw about the incident. Notice the comments about the suddenness of the
wind, and the lack of anything concerning on
radar shortly beforehand...
https://www.sailingscuttlebutt.com/2...ing-community/
Now to take your points one at a time:
"I didn't suggest that there was always a long period thunder, I suggested that thunderstorms were in the forecast." Actually what you said was
"I bet there was thunder for several minutes (time to recover a dinghy) before they struck." Well, there was not thunder for several minutes. There was thunder for a few seconds, then rain for a few seconds, then 50+kt
wind. You were correct that thunderstorms were in the forecast, but they were forecasted for a few hours earlier in the day. According to the forecast, the threat was already over when this happened (and no thunderstorms actually materialized during the time they were forecasted for).
"In fact, there is often little thunder before the initial gust front." Once again, what you literally said was
"I bet there was thunder for several minutes (time to recover a dinghy) before they struck" If you're going to talk down to me, maybe contradict yourself less.
"I'm also pretty certain there where dark clouds in the distance" Well, there was low gray cloud cover all day, and this event happened right when the light was fading anyway. Probably the clouds associated with this cell were darker and taller than the others, but it wasn't obvious to see when I did a chafe check about 20 minutes before the event. Then I was down below when it hit, so I can't speak for the few minutes leading up to it. But once again, you're assuming you know how things happened here without seeing it, and you choose to assume things that make you feel superior to me. Not really cool.
"These are a prerequisite for thunder, since it requires consider able circulation. And a 50 kt down draft requires a tall cloud. Am I wrong about these things? You did not say that I was." Of course I didn't say you were wrong about those things. You didn't say those things in your first comment. Was I supposed to read your mind and refute your points before you made them?
"Being commonplace to leave a dinghy in the water does not make it smart. I have davits and don't leave the dinghy in the water, hardly ever. Now you know one reason. But wakes can also be a problem." Sure. You get me on that one. But honestly, unexpected weather like this is pretty unlikely, and leaving the dinghy on the painter behind is so convenient. I'm unlikely to change this behavior even now. Hauling it up every time I come back from shore, and plan to use it again in literally less than 5 hours is just making
work for myself. Congrats for being so self disciplined.
"Yes, planing is useful, but I gave you my opinion. I assumed that you wanted something light that would be easy to hoist on the davits..." Well actually, you didn't have to assume that one. I said in my post "Since I single-hand most of the time, I definitely want to be able to manhandle the
outboard on and off by myself. Plus, I don't want something that will unbalance my small dinghy." So I was concerned about weight, but not for fear of having to hoist it on the davits - I get plenty of mechanical advantage for that part. You also should have known that I wanted to plane, from when I said "The
current outboard is a Yamaha 2.5 HP. It gets me on plane when I'm alone in the dinghy, but not with 2 or more people on board, so I'd love a bit more
power." I guess your comment was meant to say that in your opinion, I shouldn't bother getting enough outboard to get on plane. That's fine in itself, although I disagree. But you also said
"Planing isn't needed where you sail, and 6 hp will plane one person." Which just indicates you didn't really read my post. If 2.5HP will plane one person, then of course 6HP will. So here you're telling me to keep the
engine light, but also recommending I go to a heavier
engine than the
current one. Just weird and confusing, but at least it was on topic.
Now for the second half of your bit about davits:
"since you elected not to bother to lift the dinghy the few inches out of the water, which would have avoided the problem. An incorrect assumption." Unclear if you're exaggerating how short the davits are, or if you really would have recommended hauling the dinghy only the first few inches out. If the latter, then I disagree strongly that that would have been better. The last thing I want is a big piece of windage hanging off the davits by several feet of loose tether on both sides. That's a recipe for the dinghy to swing and slam and break stuff. But even if you didn't mean that, and were just implying that hoisting the dinghy out is easy and I'm a lazy person for not doing it, you still sound like a dick. And assuming one instance of choosing to leave the dinghy in the water means I don't care about ever being able to use my davits easily is just asinine.
"Perhaps I seem like a smartass, but that was not my intention" Right, that's why you opened your post with a smartass comment about my name...
"and I am sorry you took it that way" I frankly don't believe you.
"But you continue to argue that you did not make a basic error. " Well actually I'm not arguing that. I'm arguing that leaving the dinghy in the water in this set of circumstances was a reasonable course of action. I did in fact make a couple of much more serious errors, and I'm lucky they didn't cost me the
boat. Maybe I'll post another thread later that goes into that part of this story.
"The important lesson is that weather is predictable in its unpredictability in the summer. A very important lesson." Please sound more condescending. Beautiful.
"I've been sailing 40 years and I've learned and relearned this lesson many times. I only get surprised by weather when I am guilty of not paying attention... which happens, though not often, not anymore." Again, congrats on the self discipline. But this particular incident managed to surprise an awful lot of people, including those with lots of experience and who were paying attention (namely, the guy on the Swan referenced in the article I linked).
It's this kind of forum behavior that deters people from
posting and
learning. I asked for recommendations on a dinghy and outboard, with a bit of commentary to explain why
insurance was expected to help with the cost. You responded with condescending remarks implying I'm a fool, and making yourself feel superior. Not cool.
Finally, writing all this out actually has made me want to start a thread about the microburst and lessons learned. Look out for that later today (I'll link to this one as well). And please feel free to chime in on that discussion, as you clearly have strong opinions and sound like you can speak from experience. Just try to do so without being a dick.