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Old 22-04-2014, 18:45   #1
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Hurricane forecast for summer'14

Predicting a mild hurricane season for then Cabribbean, hope these guys are correct
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Old 22-04-2014, 19:18   #2
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Re: Hurricane forecast for summer'14

Why do they even bother with this forecast? They don't have a real clue.
Maybe they should say instead "we are way overdue for a big one, be care full".
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Old 22-04-2014, 20:23   #3
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Re: Hurricane forecast for summer'14

Ummmm they do have a clue.
Looks like El Nino this year and that should bring things down to a dull roar.

The Tropical Meteorology Project: [FORECASTS]

Read the whole document. Very interesting stuff. There will be an update June 2
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Old 22-04-2014, 20:54   #4
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Re: Hurricane forecast for summer'14

At the risk of sounding like a grump.... The number of storms doesn't matter.

A bad hurricane season is when you get hit.

A good hurricane season is when someone else gets hit.

Just takes one storm to screw things up...
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Old 25-04-2014, 11:43   #5
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Re: Hurricane forecast for summer'14

Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkJ View Post
Ummmm they do have a clue.
Looks like El Nino this year and that should bring things down to a dull roar.

The Tropical Meteorology Project: [FORECASTS]

Read the whole document. Very interesting stuff. There will be an update June 2
Well, what about last year for example? What were there, maybe small 2 storms in the Carrib? You are right, they have "clues" but that's it.
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Old 25-04-2014, 13:05   #6
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Re: Hurricane forecast for summer'14

Quote:
Originally Posted by Snore View Post
At the risk of sounding like a grump.... The number of storms doesn't matter.

A bad hurricane season is when you get hit.

A good hurricane season is when someone else gets hit.

Just takes one storm to screw things up...
Believe it or not but they stated almost exactly that in their forecast

"Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little activity is predicted."
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