Science & Technology News

[SeanPatrick]

I'll tell you this: I sure hope we are in for a cooling phase. It's been hotter than two cats ****ing in a wool sock in SE Virginia. I can barely get any yard work done.

[GordMay]

Rogue antibodies and COVID deaths

Antibodies that turn against elements of our own immune defences, known as autoantibodies, seem to be involved in almost one-fifth of COVID-19 deaths.
Researchers studied [1] more than 3,500 people from 38 countries who had very severe COVID-19.
They found [1] that around 10% of them had autoantibodies that attack and block type 1 interferons, proteins in the blood, that have a crucial role in fighting off viral infections.
Autoantibodies were present in 18% of people who had died of the disease. These rogue antibodies are also found in a small proportion of healthy, uninfected individuals; and their prevalence increases with age, which might help to explain why elderly people are at higher risk of severe COVID-19.

More about ➥ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02337-5

[1] “Autoantibodies neutralizing type I IFNs are present in ~4% of uninfected individuals over 70 years old and account for ~20% of COVID-19 deaths” ~ by Paul Bastard et al [31 August 2021]
➥ https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciimmunol.abl4340

See also:
“Autoantibodies against type I IFNs in patients with life-threatening COVID-19" ~ by Paul Bastard et al [2020]
➥ https://www.science.org/lookup/doi/1...cience.abd4585

[newhaul]

Originally Posted by SeanPatrick

I'll tell you this: I sure hope we are in for a cooling phase. It's been hotter than two cats ****ing in a wool sock in SE Virginia. I can barely get any yard work done.

A reason to actually legitimately get out of a honey do and your complaining ?

Winter will be here soon enough and will be colder than normal this year .
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/extended-forecast
Hey they have an 80% historical accuracy rating .
Better than any other meteorologist.

[SeanPatrick]

You sound like my wife. Jeez.

[jimbunyard]

Believe this link was misposted to the wrong thread.

https://www.farmersalmanac.com/extended-forecast

It should be in this thread.

https://www.cruisersforum.com/forums...ad-250628.html

or, if CF had one, the astrology thread, 'cause their 'predictions' read almost as well as a horoscope as they do jokes.

A sampling;

"Snow Days Ahead
According to the Farmers’ Almanac’s time-tested weather formula, there will be snow, but probably not as much as a snow-sport enthusiasts might dream of. On average, we’ll see near-normal amounts of the white stuff from coast to coast. However, there will be notable month-to-month variations."


"Winter’s chill will start gradually. In January, temperatures will start out mild for much of the country but will trend toward colder conditions during the middle to latter part of the month. But overall, the month will be stormy, especially along the Atlantic Seaboard where an active storm track will lead to a stretch of precipitation in various forms: rain, snow, sleet, and ice."

"The Great Lakes, Midwest, and Ohio Valley will have more than their fair share of cold and flaky weather in January. The Northern Plains and Rockies will also experience Old Man Winter’s wrath with stormy weather culminating to a possible blizzard later in the month."

"And for our friends in the Southern Great Plains, including Texas and Oklahoma, we are sorry to report that late January may bring some potentially frigid and flaky weather like you experienced last winter. Hopefully, it won’t be as robust, but it doesn’t hurt to be prepared."

[newhaul]

Originally Posted by jimbunyard

Believe this link was misposted to the wrong thread.

https://www.farmersalmanac.com/extended-forecast

It should be in this thread.

https://www.cruisersforum.com/forums...ad-250628.html

or, if CF had one, the astrology thread, 'cause their 'predictions' read almost as well as a horoscope as they do jokes.

A sampling;

"Snow Days Ahead
According to the Farmers’ Almanac’s time-tested weather formula, there will be snow, but probably not as much as a snow-sport enthusiasts might dream of. On average, we’ll see near-normal amounts of the white stuff from coast to coast. However, there will be notable month-to-month variations."


"Winter’s chill will start gradually. In January, temperatures will start out mild for much of the country but will trend toward colder conditions during the middle to latter part of the month. But overall, the month will be stormy, especially along the Atlantic Seaboard where an active storm track will lead to a stretch of precipitation in various forms: rain, snow, sleet, and ice."

"The Great Lakes, Midwest, and Ohio Valley will have more than their fair share of cold and flaky weather in January. The Northern Plains and Rockies will also experience Old Man Winter’s wrath with stormy weather culminating to a possible blizzard later in the month."

"And for our friends in the Southern Great Plains, including Texas and Oklahoma, we are sorry to report that late January may bring some potentially frigid and flaky weather like you experienced last winter. Hopefully, it won’t be as robust, but it doesn’t hurt to be prepared."

Well they do have a good proven record of correct weather forecasts.
As opposed to the 25% to 30% success rate of the msm meteorologists
So would not discount it so easily jim

[Exile]

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-58425526

[GordMay]

Originally Posted by newhaul

Well they do have a good proven record of correct weather forecasts.
As opposed to the 25% to 30% success rate of the msm meteorologists ...

Source?

The Almanacs say [without proof] they can predict weather, with around 80 percent accuracy.

How does the Almanac forge its long-term weather forecasts? According to editor Peter Geiger, the publication uses “sunspots [explaining newhaul's interest], planet positions and the impact of the moon - along with a formula that has been passed down to only seven people, within the last 204 years.

According to the Old Farmer's Almanac, themselves”:
“How Accurate Were We Last Year (2020–2021)?
Our overall accuracy rate was lower than most years ...”
➥ https://www.almanac.com/how-accurate...ather-forecast

While I haven’t seen any recent studies, on the accuracy of farmers' almanacs' seasonal forecasts, a paper published in the journal Weatherwise, in 1981, found that, rather than the claim held by The Old Farmer's Almanac that they forecast with 80 per cent accuracy, the reality was it was closer to 52 per cent, which is essentially random chance.

“Testing the Farmer's Almanac” ~ by John E. Walsh & David Allen
➥ https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/...2.1981.9931980

[newhaul]

Originally Posted by GordMay

Source?

The Almanacs say [without proof] they can predict weather, with around 80 percent accuracy.

How does the Almanac forge its long-term weather forecasts? According to editor Peter Geiger, the publication uses “sunspots [explaining newhaul's interest], planet positions and the impact of the moon - along with a formula that has been passed down to only seven people, within the last 204 years.

According to the Old Farmer's Almanac, themselves”:
“How Accurate Were We Last Year (2020–2021)?
Our overall accuracy rate was lower than most years ...”
➥ https://www.almanac.com/how-accurate...ather-forecast

While I haven’t seen any recent studies, on the accuracy of farmers' almanacs' seasonal forecasts, a paper published in the journal Weatherwise, in 1981, found that, rather than the claim held by The Old Farmer's Almanac that they forecast with 80 per cent accuracy, the reality was it was closer to 52 per cent, which is essentially random chance.

“Testing the Farmer's Almanac” ~ by John E. Walsh & David Allen
➥ https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/...2.1981.9931980

Even if it is 52% it's still much more accurate than the average long term meteorologist.

We shall see in a few months how accurate they are this year.

[SailOar]

Injecting an Alkalinizing Agent Into the Ocean To Offset 10 Years’ Worth of Acidification of the Great Barrier Reef

• The Great Barrier Reef is facing unprecedented stress from ocean warming, tropical cyclones, sediment and nutrient runoff, marine pests, and ocean acidification
• Ocean acidification impacts the ability of the corals to build and repair their hard structures and recover from bleaching events
• The plan would be to use existing shipping infrastructure to inject a source of alkalinity into the ocean
• Olivine is an abundant mineral resource, which is already mined near the Great Barrier Reef
• A bulk carrier releasing 30 000 tons per day would offset or ameliorate the projected acidification by ten years on 250 reefs
• It would also sequester 35,000 t of carbon in the ocean per year, or 0.0001% of the current global CO2 emissions.

The results are published in the journal Environmental Research Letters

[Lake-Effect]

Originally Posted by newhaul

Even if it is 52% it's still much more accurate than the average long term meteorologist.

Proof of that? Links?

[newhaul]

Originally Posted by Lake-Effect

Proof of that? Links?

https://www.cruisersforum.com/forums...ml#post3476471

[Lake-Effect]

Originally Posted by newhaul

https://www.cruisersforum.com/forums...ml#post3476471

So now you only need to prove that the "average long term meteorologist" does worse (than random).

[newhaul]

Originally Posted by Lake-Effect

So now you only need to prove that the "average long term meteorologist" does worse (than random).

What can't handle when I post the simple facts . Dig and you will find out the truth . Or just stick to the MMGWC talking points and be less than correct.

[Lake-Effect]

Originally Posted by newhaul

What can't handle when I post the simple facts . Dig and you will find out the truth . Or just stick to the MMGWC talking points and be less than correct.

Your predictable cop-out.