corona virus alerts - Latest cruising Information for vessels/locations/rules

[Montanan]

CDC Issues Domestic Travel Advisory for New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut

The CDC urges residents of New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut to refrain from non-essential domestic travel for 14 days effective immediately. This Domestic Travel Advisory does not apply to employees of critical infrastructure industries, including but not limited to trucking, public health professionals, financial services, and food supply. These employees of critical infrastructure, as defined by the Department of Homeland Security (https://www.cisa.gov/publication/gui...kforceexternal icon) have a special responsibility to maintain normal work schedule. The Governors of New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut will have full discretion to implement this Domestic Travel Advisory.

[Lake-Effect]

Reposting this from a closed thread. I think it's a positive and interesting development:


Researchers are revisiting an old therapy which has shown some success in trials.

"When people get infected, they develop antibodies to fight the infection and ultimately, if they survive, those antibodies kill the bugs," [Dr. Michael Joyner, a physiologist at the Mayo Clinic] explained.

The treatment, known as convalescent plasma, has been used since the early 20th century. According to an editorial in the Wall Street Journal by microbiologist Dr. Arturo Casadevall, "this approach was used to stem outbreaks of measles, polio and mumps," and has been used in modern settings to fight rabies and hepatitis B.

[JPA Cate]

Yes, Lake-Effect,

I'm thinking they were/are (?) using it in China. There were two 29 yr old female health care workers in Wuhan, written up in the New York Times a while back. One died from the corona virus infection, and the other was off to donate blood for plasma. I have not heard of its use here in Australia, at present.

Ann

[GordMay]

EPA Announces Enforcement Discretion Policy for COVID-19 Pandemic
On Thursday (March 26), the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency abruptly waived enforcement, on a range of legally mandated public-health and environmental protections, saying industries could have trouble complying with them, during the coronavirus pandemic.
News Release ➥ https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa...id-19-pandemic
“Enforcement Policy, Guidance & Publications” ➥ https://www.epa.gov/enforcement/enfo...e-publications

Due to my personal bias, I might (for once) be persuaded to adopt a” conspiracy theory” view of this policy.

[Sand crab]

Here are the stats on the outbreak in the US.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeli..._United_States




COVID-19 cases in the United States (

• v
• t
• e

)
Deaths Recoveries Active cases

Jan Feb Mar Last 15 days

Date

# of cases
# of deaths
2020-03-15 ​
​
​
​
​

3,501

(+24%)

62

(+11%)

2020-03-16 ​
​
​
​
​

4,373

(+25%)

76

(+23%)

2020-03-17 ​
​
​
​
​

5,662

(+29%)

97

(+28%)

2020-03-18 ​
​
​
​
​

8,074

(+43%)

123

(+27%)

2020-03-19 ​
​
​
​
​

12,018

(+49%)

175

(+42%)

2020-03-20 ​
​
​
​
​

17,439

(+45%)

230

(+31%)

2020-03-21 ​
​
​
​
​

23,710

(+36%)

298

(+30%)

2020-03-22 ​
​
​
​
​

32,341

(+36%)

408

(+37%)

2020-03-23 ​
​
​
​
​

42,749

(+32%)

519

(+27%)

2020-03-24 ​
​
​
​
​

52,685

(+23%)

681

(+31%)

2020-03-25 ​
​
​
​
​

64,916

(+23%)

906

(+33%)

2020-03-26 ​
​
​
​
​

81,964

(+26%)

1,159

(+28%)

2020-03-27 ​
​
​
​
​

100,997

(+23%)

1,591

(+37%)

2020-03-28 ​
​
​
​
​

121,099

(+20%)

2,038

(+28%)

Number of cases and deaths: Cumulative totals reported to date,[a] excluding repatriated cases
Sources: Official reports from state health officials

This is just from the last 15 days. Please notice that the rate of increase on cases and deaths is increasing over 20% per day. Sometimes way over. Most of the initial deaths 15 days ago were associated with that nursing home in Washington State.


The graph didn't copy properly but you can go to this page for more info. Same link as above btw.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeli..._United_States

[Montanan]

Originally Posted by delmarrey

It seems the Philippines here have peaked at 803. No new cases in the past day. We’ll see tomorrow!
54 deaths as of right now.

March 29

THE Philippine health ministry on Sunday reported 343 new coronavirus cases, marking the country's largest daily increase in infections, and three additional deaths.

That raised the total number of known infections in the country to 1,418, while the death toll has reached 71, it said. Seven more patients have recovered, however, bringing the total number of recoveries to 42.

[Montanan]

March 29th

Fauci Says 100,000 to 200,000 U.S. Deaths Possible (10 a.m. NY)

U.S. coronavirus deaths could reach 200,000, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony Fauci said on CNN’s “State of the Union,” calling the estimate “fluid.” More than half of the new cases are in New York, he said.

The U.S. has almost 125,000 confirmed infections with more than 2,000 deaths.

Rather sobering reality, if the projection holds we are about 1% along the journey. Many, many more to come.

[Montanan]

A five-minute, point-of-care coronavirus test could be coming to urgent care clinics next week, and experts say it could be "game-changing."

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued Emergency Use Authorization to Illinois-based medical device maker Abbott Labs on Friday for a coronavirus test that delivers positive results in as little as five minutes and negative results in 13 minutes, the company said.

The company expects the tests to be available next week and expects to ramp up manufacturing to deliver 50,000 tests per day. [That would be about 1,500,000 per month].

"I am pleased that the FDA authorized Abbott's point-of-care test yesterday. This is big news and will help get more of these tests out in the field rapidly," FDA Commissioner Steve Hahn said in a statement. "We know how important it is to get point-of-care tests out in the field quickly. These tests that can give results quickly can be a game changer in diagnosing COVID-19."

Scott Gottlieb, former FDA commissioner, echoed Hahn's comments on Twitter, calling the development a "game changer." Gottlieb also said it’s "very likely" that we’ll see additional approvals of point-of-care diagnostics behind this one, extending testing to doctor offices across the U.S.

Testing is performed on Abbott’s ID NOW platform.
The new test comes in the form of a small cartridge that fits in the palm of your hand, said John Frels, Abbott's vice president of research and development.

The test runs on the company's ID NOW platform, a 6.6-pound portable device the size of a small toaster. There are currently about 18,000 ID NOW instruments in the U.S. – the most widely available molecular point-of-care testing platform in the nation, Frels said.

[hpeer]

The vast number of “statistics” we are being fed are complete bunk, of no possible use, because there is no baseline for comparison.

Two stats are different:
Deaths per million and deaths within a defined region when plotted over time. These are not easy to come by, you have to hunt.

Yesterday Italy was at about 150/M. If you assume that they are at the apex, which is not clear (see deaths per day plotted) then they will end up with roughly double that number, about 300/M. 330M (USA pop) x 300 = 100,000. So it seems Fauci thinks Italy is approaching the apex. Maybe the USA can do a bit better than Italy, we shall see. With near 1,000 new deaths per day the /M number will grow quickly and keep growing more and more slowly.

To see the apex you need to look at deaths per day and look for when that curve stays about constant. When it starts to drop you are over the hump. Italy is, I think near the hump. Still lots of deaths but the rate is not increasing.

The USA will be similar to Italy, probably not quite as bad.

******************
USA is yesterday reporting 4 deaths per million. Obviously we are going to see many more dead than we have now. We will be shocked and awed and there will be much hollering about the deaths. People have not absorbed yet that this is inevitable.

Being an oldster it’s pretty certain people I know, friends and relatives, will die from this virus. I just don’t know who and hope it’s not me or my Wife.

Sorry to be so blunt, just trying to make it real.

[Singularity]

These statistics can help people understand....

New York City has bought 45 refrigerated truck trailers – each capable of holding as many as 44 bodies....

So many people have died that Madrid’s municipal funeral home has stopped collecting bodies. A large ice skating rink is now being used as a makeshift morgue...

[S/V Adeline]

The *urgent care* facilities in our area are part of the scam. $120 cash up front for *potential* testing. One cannot get a test unless one has symptoms (considering 75% of contagious have 0 symptoms this is an ignorant practice)

[zeehag]

this is a generally trusted site for medical folks to see the development iof this issue nation by nation and worldwide....comes from johns hopkins

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6

[hpeer]

Originally Posted by Singularity

These statistics can help people understand....

New York City has bought 45 refrigerated truck trailers – each capable of holding as many as 44 bodies....

So many people have died that Madrid’s municipal funeral home has stopped collecting bodies. A large ice skating rink is now being used as a makeshift morgue...

Makes sense. Math.

45 times 44 is 1,980.
7 million population @ 300/M is 2,100.
Coincidence?

[DeepFrz]

Originally Posted by Sand crab

104,000 cases in the US
1693 deaths and about 1000 were in the last week.

This is such a fast moving epidemic that it depends on when you look.
Cases New Deaths
USA 131,403 +7,825 2,329

This was at 12:00 CDT on 03/29.

And I think we all know these numbers are very low and do not really represent reality.

[Lake-Effect]

Originally Posted by hpeer

The vast number of “statistics” we are being fed are complete bunk, of no possible use, because there is no baseline for comparison.

There's some confusion and misquoting in the info given to the public, for sure. But the stats and predictions must have been pretty convincing for the majority of world governments, for them to get with the program so hard.

Honest predictions are necessary for being properly prepared, and as a benchmark for judging the success of our prevention and mitigation strategies.

Hope for the best, but be prepared for the worst.