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Forum: Our Community 03-11-2013, 14:10
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

Are you going to split between Cedros and Natividad? If the weather is up in the Dewey Channel there (off Point Eugenia) you will probably think you plotted wrong and ended up in San Francisco.
...
Forum: Our Community 02-11-2013, 18:27
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

I spent about a month getting from Ensenada to Banderas Bay. I was waiting for "goldielocks" weather. A week in Turtle Bay, a few days in Santa Maria, a few days in Cabo San Lucas.
Forum: Our Community 01-11-2013, 22:14
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

I totally agree with them that it's a small cyclone and the odds of it impacting them are near zero.

If it was my ass on the line, I'd still hang in Turtle Bay. "Commander's Weather and Rich at...
Forum: Our Community 31-10-2013, 11:30
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

Current track models have it at 70%/80% chance of formation, crossing under Cabo and arching right into Mazatlan.

https://i.imgur.com/ESD7bP5.gif
Forum: Our Community 31-10-2013, 11:28
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

News from yesterday, sounds like they're being smart about it.
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 19:14
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

Current track models.

https://www.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_197.gif
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 17:24
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

30% in 48 hours, 70% within five days. N-NW heading at 120nm per day.

Wait in Turtle Bay guys!
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 14:43
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

Be that as it may, if a meteorologist from NOAA says that something has a 60% chance of turning into a tropical cyclone and it's headed my way, I'm wimping out and hiding.
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 14:04
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

I don't want to run around like chicken little but a strong likelyhood of a cyclone that's moving in the direction of a fleet consisting of lots of sailboats is no bueno.

The schedule aspect is...
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 11:12
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
Re: The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

And that's 30% chance in the next two days, it's at 60% for five days. Current direction is NW, making 125nm a day.
Forum: Our Community 30-10-2013, 11:11
Replies: 48
Views: 6,324
Posted By rebel heart
The 2013 HaHa is threading a needle this time around

So Hurricane Raymond was downgraded and is now dissipating (and raining on me in La Paz as I type this), but it's still sending swell and garbage all over the place.

Now there's a high chance of...
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