Great story. Thanks for sharing. You elected a great hiding hole imho.
The Westerly drift of Irma and of the consecutive forecasts must have given a pure headache to many sailing people in the area. I think some of them made decisions that were very good 3 days before the system but turned out very bad when the system actually hit.
I had to 'evacuate' my clients from the Bahamas
all the way to La Habana. And even there they got bashed. Just think that when they got moving, the system was forecast
to pass E of the Bahamas
or maybe, less likely, thru the Bahamas. Only outlier ensemble tracks showed any possibility of it going thru the Channel, and only at some updates.
Irma's actual track fell hundreds of miles W and SW from early forecasts (or at least from our GFS based assumptions).