As many of you will know, the PHLs had its first tropical storm this year in FEBRUARY, the month during which tropical storms are considered LEAST likely to impact the Philippines
. Luckily it dissipated in the face of strong NE winds before it made its landfall, clocking about 35 knot
winds over our anchorage in Dapa, Siargao. That rare occurence seemed to set the tone for the season.
Then, the first SUPER TYPHOON of the year hit in MARCH, which marks another statistical anomaly. Wondering what folks make of all this.
Thankfully, that storm did not reach its full potential until recurving away form the Philippines
. However, Siargao had a good five days of on/off rain and up to 21 knot
gusts from that storm, which was hundreds of miles away.
At the moment, there is a circular pattern of winds forming off Western New Guinea. It has moved slightly NE over the last 24 hours, but, as yet shows no increase in its relatively light wind
speeds. I have attached a Windytv.com screenshot of it here.
Anyone want know what the chances may be that it will turn into something worrisome? Of course, this system is very far away at the moment, but it is shaping up not far from where the first storm did, near Koror.
Any input would be appreciated.