Weather, and the Future of Cruising

[RayW]

Originally Posted by grunzster

Really do I have to put a cut little emoticon after everything I say on here?

The Discover thing was a joke....

LMAO

[Ex-Calif]

Originally Posted by grunzster

Really do I have to put a cut little emoticon after everything I say on here?

The Discover thing was a joke. I haven't even had a TV in a few years. Yes I agree the media is all about sensationalizing thing and keeping us scared.

Of course everyone knows "real" science comes from Fox <<<<<----- TAKE NOTE!

[off-the-grid]

I though it came from Myth Busters?

[zeehag]

science comes from a yellow hard bound book on the back shelf in the 3rd grade room....or television, i forgot which.....but if it was television, it HAS to be true..

[LakeSuperior]

Originally Posted by RayW

Ok, this is quick research, so take it with a grain of salt... 1890-1899 I'm counting 81 Tropical Storms/Hurricanes that hit south and east US. 1940-1949 they were 93, and 1990-1999 there were 109.

How many did they miss in 1890 - 1899 decade? They didn't have satellites then. Many tropical storms/hurricanes never hit land.

[David_Old_Jersey]

Originally Posted by LakeSuperior

How many did they miss in 1890 - 1899 decade? They didn't have satellites then. Many tropical storms/hurricanes never hit land.

4.

I've extrapolated that figure from the existing data. and then decided not to include my thumb (for statistical adjustment reasons).

[Hud3]

Here's a source of historical records of all Atlantic tropical storms sorted by decade, from 1851 through 2008. It's presented in both graphical format (with tracks) and in tabular form. The number of storms in each decade are tallied by category and noted above the tracks image.

Atlantic Region - Atlantic Projection - Climatology of Caribbean Hurricanes - 1851-2008

So, there's the raw data. What's the conclusion as far as cruising is concerned?

[ad_astra]

Originally Posted by Hillbillylad

NASA predict the solar flares in the next year or so will cripple most sat navigation etc. That'll pretty much drive us back to navigating with charts and forecasting weather through observation again.
I think there is something quintessentially independent and self reliant about sailors. So I expect when the big shock to civilization comes, most won't even notice.

Negative, your source is likely outdated. More recent forecasts (as well as one of the deepest solar minima on record) indicate that we will have a below average solar cycle this bout around. Furthermore, the solar cycle will not peak until 2013 (not next year).

New Solar Cycle Prediction - NASA Science

So no, it's not time to invest in the sextant manufacturing industry.....

[off-the-grid]

Originally Posted by ad_astra

Furthermore, the solar cycle will not peak until 2013 (not next year)

But isn't the world ending in 2012 anyway.

[LakeSuperior]

Originally Posted by Hud3

Here's a source of historical records of all Atlantic tropical storms sorted by decade, from 1851 through 2008. It's presented in both graphical format (with tracks) and in tabular form. The number of storms in each decade are tallied by category and noted above the tracks image.

So, there's the raw data. What's the conclusion as far as cruising is concerned?

That's the point...the conclusion is they didn't count all the tropical storms and hurricanes before satellite technology because they were offshore and many were not observed to be counted. Therefore it is difficult to compare pre and post satellite technology numbers.

[Blue Crab]

Originally Posted by grunzster

Like Lindsay Lohan going to jail. Who gives a ****!.

Lindsay Lohan's going to jail?

[MarkJ]

Originally Posted by tgzzzz

Lindsay Lohan's going to jail?

When did she get out of jail?

You Americans have a revolving door policy!

Lock the bitch up and toss the keys into an errant VW.

[zeehag]

she sailed out today from the jail, as per yahoo..lol..she shoulda stayed in there for a while.....impersonating an actress......or whatever she is...


oops --did i say that out loud??? yipes..... LOL

[sabray]

somewhere there is a dealer and a network that are the supply chain. The addict is the end user supporting the whole thing. Shes in jail on bail and in rehab sad. Can the drug suppliers maintain the supply if the weather gets worse through that in so were on topic. there is a lot of hollering about weather change and lohan. It appears that there is a weather shift maybe its not man made but we are seeing warmer waters receding ice and actors on drugs. I ll go to work tomorrow and next weekend will sail again maybe Ill need to reef if the weather has changed

[Patient]

Originally Posted by zeehag

she sailed out today from the jail, as per yahoo..lol..she shoulda stayed in there for a while.....impersonating an actress......or whatever she is...


oops --did i say that out loud??? yipes..... LOL

Haha!

She posted a $300,000 bail and is out now.
Well that probably breaks a few records in terms of "Most expensive night clubbing.. EVER!"

Speaking of Warming etc. I saw something interesting recently involving the planet Venus. There was some article or lecture recently that talked about how it has now become evident that Venus is smack middle in its own repercussions of global warming. Mind you this is obviously NOT man made global warming. Which makes it all that more intriguing.

I have to read more about it, but the little bit I read about Venus's weather patterns was really interesting. Im going to poke around a bit for the lecture I found.

Enjoy your sunday everyone.