The NHC gives a low pressure area off the east coast
a 90 percent chance of development.
Whilst the proximity to land at this time will likely inhibit initial development, the 'feature' is forecast
to cross Nicaragua
, pass into the extreme western Carib, and then cross into the southern gulf.
Given the 2-4 F degree hotter-than-the-climatic-average surface water
in the developmental area, the slightly warmer-than-normal water
in the southern Gulf of Mexico
, and the trends this year, the system bears watching.
Though it is relatively late in the season, remembering ancient history
12 years ago, Wilma, the second most intense storm in the 'Atlantic theatre' (since Patricia took her place as first), formed in mid October...