Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
The basic point being that whether it requires superhuman powers or a high pucker factor, and whether or not you'd be toast, it violates multiple provisions of the Colregs, is unquestionably unsafe, and defies common sense & rudimentary logic. And these are single ship scenarios I gather in open water.
So it all begs the obvious question: Why do it? And maybe the slightly less obvious question: Why propose doing it, or even suggest doing it on a thread involving serious discussions about real-life collision avoidance? Except as rational posters have done here, namely as a hypothetical learning exercise to demonstrate why it should never be attempted. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
[QUOTE=ramblinrod;2507293]
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"180 foot CPA with a fast ship is dangerous -- too close to attempt to pass." "No it's not. If you pass with a greater margin, you run into the ship behind." "Maybe you run into the ship behind, but it's still not safe to attempt to pass so close to the ship ahead." "If you pass further, you run into the ship behind." "What does that have to do anything? If that's true, then you can't pass at all!" Then throw in some taunts "Bang bang, glub glub." Etc., etc., repeat ad nauseum. All the detailed technical explanations are apparently wasted, and I don't want to bore anyone by repeating myself. Anyone who found any of it interesting can find it further back in the thread. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
I've said this a few times, but nobody seems to have picked up on it.
Rod was suggesting this 180' stuff LONG before the 'line of ships' scenario was introduced. He was talking about doing it right from the start, and then invented the scenario afterwards to support this 180' business. It was being presented to us, forcefully, as safe and appropriate if only your 'pucker factor' was high enough. The line of ships thing came later, presumably as cover for a reckless contention made prior. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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However, I would appreciate your observations on what I did "so terribly wrong" given my post which I thought explained it, and why he was long gone by the time I "got there." Thank you. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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I would have had to see it, to understand what you did so terribly wrong. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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The earlier reference to 180 ft, was with regard to holding stand-on when approaching a give way ship at 90 degrees, until 1/4 nm away, to give them ample time to execute their plan, and not interefere with their plan, should they have been holding off execution for some good reason. The line of ships scenario is a different discussion other than it also has to deal with a ship crossing situation. |
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Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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Because: a) We were discussing crossing situations. b) We were discussing risk aversion. c) We were discussion whether "safe distance" is subjective or objective. I do have to say at this point, after all of this discussion by many posters, to ask why we have discussed it all, is pretty irrational. It was discussed, because so many wished to discuss it I s'pose. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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Apparently, doing what you did, did not work out as you had planned. I have no idea why. I wasn't there. |
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LOL!! The classic straw man you've been accusing others of using! Your comments are long past the point of being taken seriously. :nonono: Quote:
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Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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That was the exact same reason I gave back during that debate. And by the way, the 1/4 nm away I referred to was my distance 90 degrees from their course line, not CPA. I would prefer not to re-debate every old debate, again and again. Especially not when someone presents the "alternate facts" to what was actually posted or debated. That is truly a "strawman argument". |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
[QUOTE=Dockhead;2507349]
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Given the scenario, my plan could work if the ships held course and speed. Your plan couldn't; you would hit the following ship. Your plan was inherently "less safe". Period. End of story. Now you seem to be arguing that your plan to pass 2-3 cables behind the lead ship, and running into the following ship, is better than passing just clear of the lead ship and clearing the following ship without hitting it. Sorry, I don't get your logic. I suggest that the one who lived (ramblinrod), is a whole lot better off than the one who died (Dockhead). |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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It was to demonstrate how the skippers response to a scenario is subjective. An extreme scenario was chosen to make the point. To argue the scenario was too extreme, after proposing a navigation solution that is obviously severely flawed and causes a collision, is just sour grapes and deflection in my opinion. |
Re: Collision Avoidance, Cones of Uncertainty, and Appropriate CPA
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Jim |
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