There are people who have developed mathematical models to track ocean debris such as that from the disappearance of Malesia Air 370. These models
forecast where a piece of debris may be found if acted on the winds, currents, sea states and other factors existing at the time of disappearance. Or, conversely. if some debris is found, from where it could have conceivably originated. There was
work done on this in
Germany regarding MS370 and at the University of
Hawaii regarding the case of a fisherman who claimed to have drifted in an open
boat from the coast of Central American to the
Marshall Islands where he turned up. In both cases the data developed indicated that it was entirely possible the debris found near
Africa came from MS370 and that the fisherman's story as to how he got to the Marshal Islands was plausible.
In both cases these experts had
weather and sea state date from actual records for the periods and areas in question. Since your
research is concerned with ancient times, this data would have to use best estimates as to the conditions existing at that time.