If anyone has anyone been looking at the weather
in the last few days for the NW Caribbean
., they will have noticed that the GFS model tried to forecast
a fairly aggressive low developing just north of the Bay Islands, Honduras
producing 30 knot
E to NE winds to the north of the low, they have since withdrawn from this forecast
and fallen in line with ESE winds along with everyone else
Both Chris Parker and Crown weather
did not believe it and ignored it in their forecasts
Then I received an email
from Crown weather - See extract below
Crown Weather Services
Issued: Monday, May 22, 2017 12:05 pm EDT/11:05 am CDT
Verification statistics reveal that the GFS model currently has a 25 percent verification rate, which means that the model is currently only correct 25 percent of the time.
On the other hand, the European model guidance has a current 75 percent verification rate, which means the European model has more credence and believability right now.
Keep this in mind when looking at the GFS model guidance.
As far as I know, a lot of the internet
weather package use the GFS model
Guru, Windyty, Zygrib to name but a few
If the GFS model is so inaccurate at the moment, can anyone suggest other internet
weather products which either
Allow you to select the model
Are based on models other than the GFS?