If the
weather cooperates, you could have NW winds force 4 and do
hull speed till you get to Point Conception. We ducked inside the Channel Islands but we were going to
Newport Beach the two times we made the sail.
The problem you may have is persistant southerly winds. Winds in January are primarily southerly according to the Pilot
Charts. Southerlies are can persist into March but are not guaranteed. We had NW winds when we made the trip in both January and July. Going the other direction, had light southerlies which held through most of March that year.
We were pretty close inshore when we turned the corner at Point Conception. We got hit by force 5-6 local winds on one
passage. They came out of nowhere going force 4 to force 6 about 5 miles north of the point and dieing out shorting after rounding. Don't think you need to hang out 50 miles but be wary if your within 10 miles.
Once we rounded the point, winds were force 2-3 all the way into
Newport. With calm seas. We sailed the whole way but not at
hull speed.
As you are undoubtedly aware, the
winter low pressure systems are the problem. If you leave as soon as the winds switch to NW after frontal
passage, you should be around Point Conception within 3 days with decent winds. We Made
Newport Beach in 4 days both trips.
Santa Cruz, Monterey, and Morro Bay are the only places to run to hide so wait for good weather or duck in early if things don't develop as planned.
Second stopping at the Channel Islands. We hit two and they were magical with the elephant
seals and hiking. No other boats, except
commercial fisherman, in the
winter.