"Go to St. Lucia and Martinique
in September during the peak of the hurricane
and tropical storm season, they said."
"It will be fun they said."
The statistical peak day of the hurricane
season – the day you are most likely to find a tropical cyclone somewhere in the Atlantic basin – is September 10th.
From mid-August through mid-October, the activity spikes, accounting for 78 percent of the tropical storm days, 87 percent of the category 1 and 2 hurricane days (Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale), and a whopping 96 percent of the major (category 3, 4 and 5) hurricane days.
Reference the attached image from NOAA: The number of tropical storm and hurricane days for the Atlantic Basin (the Atlantic Ocean
, the Caribbean
Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico).
Martinique's history with tropical systems
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.
Years within or near core
1872ts,1875,1876ts,1878ts,1879ts,1880tsbr,1883m,18 86tsbr,1887tsbr,1888ts,1889ts,1891m,1893br,1894m,1 894,1895ts,1896ts,1896tsbr,1898br,1901ts,1903,1908 tsbr,1915tsbr,1916br,
1916-2tsbr,1918ts,1926ts,1931-2ts,1941tsbr,1942ts,1943tsbr,1945tsbr,1949tsbr,195 1,1951tsbr,1956br,1958ts,1960ts,1963,1967ts,1970ts ,1979m,1980brm,1994ts,1995ts,1995,2007,
58 times in 149yrs end of 2020
Based on the above record
Martinique is most likely to be hit between September 7 and 13th.
"Could be exciting they said."
As to business closures, well I suspect that will be largely dependent on the weather
and whether the COVID-19 pandemic continues to be adverse. Reference noonsite for recent biosecurity protocols.
Martinique has been closed for a long, long time.
The entry into Martinique of pleasure craft is authorized only for nationals of the European Union, of the Schengen area or holders of a legal
who also must have an overriding personal or family
reason, an emergency health
reason or a professional reason, to enter.
Prior authorization to enter must be granted by CROSS AG and supporting documents provided.
See the Government
Conditions of Entry for pleasure craft for full details: https://www.martinique.gouv.fr/Polit...-la-Martinique
Reference for St. Lucia:
And then there is the issue of volcanos, never know when one of those will blow.
There are two volcanoes on the Island of Martinique, the tallest Mount-Pelée is still active and on May 8, 1902, it erupted destroying the then capital of the island, St. Pierre and killing over 30,000 people.
The recent eruption and decimation of St. Vincent sent ash towards all the neighboring islands and a lot of refugees which likely will make both your destinations crowded with St. Vincents [not sure what one calls someone from St. Vincent, they can't all be Saints could they]
Hope you have an enjoyable time. All the best.