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12-11-2015, 14:09
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#1
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Long Range Cruiser
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,820
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Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
A bit spikey in the next few days but better than next week...
I am thinking of crossing the Gulf Stream out side Beaufort North Carolina in a 20 knot NW. At the place I am crossing the Stream is heading NE so the wind will be at 90 degrees.
My course is SE, wind up the bum, shortest course to cross it.
What conditions can I expect?
Thanks,
Mark
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12-11-2015, 14:32
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Winters cruising; summers Chesapeake Bay
Boat: Catana 471
Posts: 1,239
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Hi Mark - I've done exactly that numerous times, but leaving from the Ches Bay. We end up crossing the stream where you will. As you suspect, no nastiness from wind driven chop against the stream. Have fun!
Dave
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13-11-2015, 01:06
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#3
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Long Range Cruiser
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,820
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Great, thanks Dave.
Looks like I am off into it today to the Caribbean. Blows like like hell all week. But from behind/beam. And slightly less than yesterday's gribs.
Mark
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13-11-2015, 03:46
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Southern Maryland
Posts: 266
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
So two reasonably stout vessels, a gunboat cat and a 40 tri were lost/ abandoned last winter after attempting to cross the stream in a nw gale. Gale force winds are forecast today here on the Chesapeake.
One thing they learned is that the Gulf Stream does not flow in one direction. Large eddies flow in many directions.
No way I'd be heading out there now..
What is the current forecast there?
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13-11-2015, 03:50
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Florida
Boat: Jeanneau 44i SO
Posts: 146
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
It will be a lot better then it was a month ago. I crossed with 30 knot NE winds from the east toward the north and west. A very slow with lots of tacks process. And because the current was opposite the wind, very high close swells that were not at all friendly. A long and very wet trip.
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13-11-2015, 04:41
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by paxfish
So two reasonably stout vessels, a gunboat cat and a 40 tri were lost/ abandoned last winter after attempting to cross the stream in a nw gale. Gale force winds are forecast today here on the Chesapeake.
One thing they learned is that the Gulf Stream does not flow in one direction. Large eddies flow in many directions.
No way I'd be heading out there now..
What is the current forecast there?
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You are very right about the stream. People imagine that it is a well organised linear flow, when in fact it is fractal. Attached is a screenshot I took of a section of the stream I took while race navigator/tactician in the recent Transatlantic Race. Caveat Navigator!
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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13-11-2015, 04:46
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#7
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CF Adviser Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Virginia
Boat: Island Packet 380, now sold
Posts: 8,943
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Mark,
You'll likely find windspeeds in excess of the GRIB predictions once you're in the Stream. If it's like one of my crossings in NW winds, the waves will be coming at you from two or three different directions, and when they come together, they can jump into your cockpit. Be prepared for a rough ride.
__________________
Hud
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13-11-2015, 04:50
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hud3
Mark,
You'll likely find windspeeds in excess of the GRIB predictions once you're in the Stream. If it's like one of my crossings in NW winds, the waves will be coming at you from two or three different directions, and when they come together, they can jump into your cockpit. Be prepared for a rough ride.
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Hey Hud… you mean like this one?
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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13-11-2015, 04:53
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hud3
Mark,
You'll likely find windspeeds in excess of the GRIB predictions once you're in the Stream. If it's like one of my crossings in NW winds, the waves will be coming at you from two or three different directions, and when they come together, they can jump into your cockpit. Be prepared for a rough ride.
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And yes, I always plan for windspeeds in excess of grib files by a minimum of 35%.
In a nice little squeze zone centre Stream (same time as the screenshot above) we had predicted winds of 25 to 30 knots and actual up to 57. Sustained above 48 for 15 hours.
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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13-11-2015, 04:59
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 3,607
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Gulf Stream in area in question. Pretty organized. Eddies mostly further downstream.
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13-11-2015, 05:05
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Delancey
Gulf Stream in area in question. Pretty organized. Eddies mostly further downstream.
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True enough that along that stretch further South the stream tends to be more organised, however the data is fairly large grained, and significant localised eddy structures (rather larger than a boat!) exist throughout the region, which are not represented on the large scale data renders such as that. They become much more obvious in the models further North and East, when they are scores or hundreds of miles wide.
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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13-11-2015, 05:13
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Delancey
Gulf Stream in area in question. Pretty organized. Eddies mostly further downstream.
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Nice imagery BTW… what site is that from?
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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13-11-2015, 05:16
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#13
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CF Adviser Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Virginia
Boat: Island Packet 380, now sold
Posts: 8,943
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Muckle Flugga
Hey Hud… you mean like this one?
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Yep. That looks just like the one that dumped a foot and a half of water in our cockpit.
__________________
Hud
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13-11-2015, 05:18
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 3,607
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
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13-11-2015, 05:36
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Aboard the Ocean wave
Boat: 55' sloop.
Posts: 1,426
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Re: Gulf Stream when wind is at 90 degrees?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Delancey
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Well, let's just say it was pretty eventful
And thanks for the links: very useful and great imagery!
__________________
‘Structural engineering is the art of modeling materials we do not wholly understand into shapes we cannot precisely analyse as to withstand forces we cannot properly assess in such a way that the public at large has no reason to suspect the extent of our ignorance.’
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