The Colorado State University forecast
team predicts an average 2009 Atlantic basin hurricane
season based on the potential for a weak El Nino event and an observed cooling
of tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
The team lowered its forecast
from December and now anticipates 12 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. Six of the storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those six, two are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes (Saffir/Simpson category 3-4-5) with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.
This forecast has been reduced from the early December prediction of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. Long-term averages are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year.
April 7TH Update
2009 Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast