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Old 07-04-2013, 12:30   #31
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Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

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Originally Posted by atoll View Post
so what you are saying is if they say it is going to be a bad year,in reality it has a 9 out of 10 chance of being worse than predicted!
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Old 07-04-2013, 13:18   #32
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pirate Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

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Originally Posted by Cheechako View Post
...My guess is any one of us could be as accurate by simply predicting 15............ :>) ....
I'm saying there will be about 15 named storms this year. It could range from say, 9 to 20 something. Some will be weaker than others. Most will start near Africa, hit the Caribe islands before encountering the US SE coast line and then move onshore. Fl usually gets hit more than once and this year will very likely be more of the same. Places hit will suffer storm surge and higher than normal winds. Home owners in the path of a storm will once again buy a bunch of plywood. One would think all East Coast homes would already have pre-measured/cut storm windows but no...

These are my official predictions for the 2013 season. I am from California and have been to Sedona, AZ so I base my comments on both good and bad vibrations I receive.

To buttress this, note that the article ends with: "Can any rational person look at these facts and not understand that what happens is nature? In fact, the question should be Why haven't these storms happened? The answer is that there is an entire set of storms that is not yet complete. This has been with us since the earth evolved to the way it is now and will continue. These storms will happen, as the set will be completed, as nature intended."


Crapset theory for normal people


Oh dear. Per the above reasoning and Venn Diaphragm, there is a set of storms in nature. And the set is incomplete. But nature intends the set to be completed.

I admire DonL for letting us know he is no expert. I would like to announce to one and all that I ain't no genius, particularly when it comes to women and set theory. I submit, however, that the useful/less quotient would not change if one were to substitute the 3 letter word "God" for the 6 letter "nature", especially when we all know that God is known to be mean, angry, and vengeful among other attributes, and nature is beautiful, peaceful, motherly. And God don't need no stinkin' set theory.

I prefer to think of these storms as random, and not the apparently random
chaos that isn't random at all. Random random: A gazillion hot breaths of fire come off the African continent. A few accelerate a particular wave pattern formed in x degree water. That utter randomness may develop into a storm but probably will not, because.....(wait for it...)....: It's random, like every other event on this here roundish rock.

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Old 08-04-2013, 05:49   #33
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Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

There could be 45 named storms this year!!!

It depends on what they want to "name". Ten years ago they named fewer.... Let alone the very few they would have named fifty years ago.

It blew 22 knots here yesterday. I think it's an early storm that should have been named Weiner...


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Old 08-04-2013, 05:57   #34
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pirate Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

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Originally Posted by Blue Crab View Post
I'm saying there will be about 15 named storms this year. It could range from say, 9 to 20 something. Some will be weaker than others. Most will start near Africa, hit the Caribe islands before encountering the US SE coast line and then move onshore. Fl usually gets hit more than once and this year will very likely be more of the same. Places hit will suffer storm surge and higher than normal winds. Home owners in the path of a storm will once again buy a bunch of plywood. One would think all East Coast homes would already have pre-measured/cut storm windows but no...

These are my official predictions for the 2013 season. I am from California and have been to Sedona, AZ so I base my comments on both good and bad vibrations I receive.

To buttress this, note that the article ends with: "Can any rational person look at these facts and not understand that what happens is nature? In fact, the question should be Why haven't these storms happened? The answer is that there is an entire set of storms that is not yet complete. This has been with us since the earth evolved to the way it is now and will continue. These storms will happen, as the set will be completed, as nature intended."


Crapset theory for normal people


Oh dear. Per the above reasoning and Venn Diaphragm, there is a set of storms in nature. And the set is incomplete. But nature intends the set to be completed.

I admire DonL for letting us know he is no expert. I would like to announce to one and all that I ain't no genius, particularly when it comes to women and set theory. I submit, however, that the useful/less quotient would not change if one were to substitute the 3 letter word "God" for the 6 letter "nature", especially when we all know that God is known to be mean, angry, and vengeful among other attributes, and nature is beautiful, peaceful, motherly. And God don't need no stinkin' set theory.

I prefer to think of these storms as random, and not the apparently random
chaos that isn't random at all. Random random: A gazillion hot breaths of fire come off the African continent. A few accelerate a particular wave pattern formed in x degree water. That utter randomness may develop into a storm but probably will not, because.....(wait for it...)....: It's random, like every other event on this here roundish rock.

Loada rubbish... its the Flutter by's....
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Old 08-04-2013, 05:59   #35
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Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

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Originally Posted by MarkJ View Post
There could be 45 named storms this year!!!

It depends on what they want to "name". Ten years ago they named fewer.... Let alone the very few they would have named fifty years ago.

It blew 22 knots here yesterday. I think it's an early storm that should have been named Weiner...


planning on spending the hurricane season in sxm this year mark?
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Old 08-04-2013, 06:22   #36
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Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

isnt always the number of storms but the number of HITS the storms make on the coast...there can be many storms that do n0t affect the coast but do affect the sailing across big bodies of water....look out ireland, you will be able to grow many shamrocks this growing season....mebbe......
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Old 08-04-2013, 06:32   #37
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pirate Re: 2013 hurricane season forecast

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Originally Posted by boatman61 View Post
Loada rubbish... its the Flutter by's....
Just as likely.
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