Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

[John A]

Ah, folks, Hurricane Rina is headed for the Gulf of Mexico as we speak.
Track Hurricane Rina / Stormpulse / Hurricanes, severe weather, tracking, mapping

[zeehag]

wiith number one on her heels

[night0wl]

crap

[Vasco]

Originally Posted by Tropic Cat

It was the Epic '04 year when Florida was hit by 4 large hurricanes 2 of them within 3 weeks. I didn't have electricity for much of September, and I live about 40 miles north of Fort Pierce. I only remember Katrina and Wilma in '05, both were small storms here in central Florida that brought us rain.

.

Remember 04 very well. "Breathless" was brand new, just commissioned in Charleston. Went to Jacksonville, thought it was safe. Then came Bonnie, Charley, Frances etc., etc.

[capn_billl]

OOOPS! I'm ready for my spanking now.


But hiding smugly behind a cold front, and crossing my fingers.

[sneuman]

Um, actually, 2011 has been a particularly active Atlantic hurricane season. The average is 9 or 10 named storms and so far, we've had twice that many -- 17.

The forecasters were dead on.

[night0wl]

Originally Posted by Vasco

Remember 04 very well. "Breathless" was brand new, just commissioned in Charleston. Went to Jacksonville, thought it was safe. Then came Bonnie, Charley, Frances etc., etc.

That was just a nasty nasty year. And then the following year was Katrina, Rita, & Wilma. *ugh*

[zeehag]

be and stay safe all you in gulf of mexico--looks like a busy late season for ye...

[barnakiel]

Originally Posted by capn_billl

Well so much for a "record breaking hurricane season".

I can breath a sigh of relief and put away the plywood. But why do they always make the prediction, "this will be a record hurricane year".

1 east coast tropical storm, and a couple of small storms in the Atlantic is nothing like 2005, or 1811.

Well, it has to do with how the forecast is generated. Reading into the subject explains a lot.

Still, +1, as it is at least the third time we have had alarming forecasts from weather agencies and less than average activity followed.

b.

[zeehag]

rather have less active than more active......

[sneuman]

BUT, it was a MORE active Atlantic season than the historical average, not less. The OP is in error.

[John A]

Originally Posted by sneuman

BUT, it was a MORE active Atlantic season than the historical average, not less. The OP is in error.

The OP has already apologized.

[barnakiel]

Originally Posted by sneuman

BUT, it was a MORE active Atlantic season than the historical average, not less. The OP is in error.

It may have been, or else our instruments are better today and we can detect more?

BTW it was or it was not, do you remember the near panic tone of how the reports were presented? Maybe not all, but definitely some of them.

Or else we can see it this way: because of the AMOUNT of activity, the more activity, the less likely a single event to develop into the real bad thing? (IMHO NOT).

There is the data, there is the report, there are the interpretations.

b.

[Tellie]

Ha! We just set up the booth for the Ft.Lauderdale show...in a big ol tent! Maybe we'll get lucky. There's always the Miami show.

[w1651]

Originally Posted by capn_billl

Well so much for a "record breaking hurricane season".

I can breath a sigh of relief and put away the plywood. But why do they always make the prediction, "this will be a record hurricane year".

1 east coast tropical storm, and a couple of small storms in the Atlantic is nothing like 2005, or 1811.

to much of this Bill !

Thanks Bill !!!! Only 22 days left.