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13-03-2020, 15:15
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2018
Location: Vancouver, WA
Boat: Island Packet 485, 52'
Posts: 67
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Faster winds and faster currents
Seems like everythings going faster now adays.
https://www.passagemaker.com/trawler...ts-speeding-up
TLDR; currents are on average 15% faster than in the 90's driven by faster winds, driven by warming climate.
Sean
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13-03-2020, 16:08
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#2
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Senior Cruiser

Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Thunder Bay, Ontario - 48-29N x 89-20W
Boat: (Cruiser Living On Dirt)
Posts: 47,083
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Except those things that are moving slower ...
Slow-Motion Ocean: Atlantic’s Circulation Is Weakest in 1,600 Years
If hemisphere-spanning currents are slowing, greater flooding and extreme weather could be at hand.
➥ https://getpocket.com/explore/item/s...in-1-600-years
➥ https://oceanbites.org/circulation-r...orth-atlantic/
What Would Happen if Earth Started to Spin Faster?
Even a 1 mph speed boost would make things pretty weird.
If Earth’s rotation picked up slowly, it would carry the atmosphere with it—and we wouldn’t necessarily notice a big difference in the day-to-day winds and weather patterns. “Temperature difference is still going to be the main driver of winds,” says Odenwald. However, extreme weather could become more destructive. “Hurricanes will spin faster,” he says, “and there will be more energy in them.”
➥ https://getpocket.com/explore/item/w...=pocket-newtab
__________________
Gord May
"If you didn't have the time or money to do it right in the first place, when will you get the time/$ to fix it?"
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13-03-2020, 19:19
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#3
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Senior Cruiser

Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Port Moresby,Papua New Guinea
Boat: FP Belize Maestro 43 and OPBs
Posts: 12,881
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
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13-03-2020, 20:43
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 2,007
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
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14-03-2020, 00:20
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#5
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Senior Cruiser

Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Port Moresby,Papua New Guinea
Boat: FP Belize Maestro 43 and OPBs
Posts: 12,881
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Quote:
Originally Posted by billknny
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Ah, the flim-flam man!
Has he ever got any prediction right?
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14-03-2020, 00:35
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#6
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Moderator

Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Solent, England
Boat: Moody 31
Posts: 17,342
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Well it has certainly been horrendously wet and windy winter so far on this side of the pond, so yes it must be climate change
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14-03-2020, 08:29
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Alert Bay, Vancouver Island
Boat: 35ft classic ketch/yawl.
Posts: 1,971
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Commenting on global warming based on a feeling about the season from a few places is like saying people a driving more because it seams to take longer to do your morning commute. Global temp are monitored world wide and averaged over several years. Even theen it has taken many years to establish that the results are not due to 'normal' cyclic varyations. The detail of the effects are monitored the same way. Trying to attribute the intensity to any single weather event to global warming is not possible and thereore is not valid evidence either way.
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14-03-2020, 08:58
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: Somewhere in the Pacific Ocean
Boat: Catalina Morgan 45
Posts: 596
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Quote:
Originally Posted by roland stockham
Global temp are monitored world wide and averaged over several years. Even theen it has taken many years to establish that the results are not due to 'normal' cyclic varyations.
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There are a few key things here...
"...monitored over several years" - NOT several millennia. For example, I don't recall reading any "global hysteria" stating that several thousand years ago the earth's sea levels were much higher than they are today.
"...not due to 'normal' cyclic varyations [sic]" - what we consider normal variations are a snapshot from a very very brief period of earth history.
The earth is an amazing planet that is alive and in constant flux.
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14-03-2020, 09:07
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: LI Sound
Boat: Sabre 34-2
Posts: 681
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Quote:
Originally Posted by disputin
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Happy to have more wind during sailing season in Long Island sound.
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14-03-2020, 09:12
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: LI Sound
Boat: Sabre 34-2
Posts: 681
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
I don't know about global warming and such but seeing the weather these past few years I can certainly see a change. I am a skier too but we only got 1 or 2 days of snow this winter, I can go further north or west but that's not always practical.
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14-03-2020, 10:19
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,412
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Well, eh, it depends on where you are.
In the trades (Atlantic trades) the currents seem slower and the winds seem a bit less now than what they were in the period.
I have measured wind drift in the trades in 2004, 2012 and 2017. On none of the occasions the speed matched what you read from the pilot charts. In fact, we experienced maybe only 50% of the averages on most days.
So it may be speeding up somewhere, slowing down somewhere else.
b.
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14-03-2020, 11:21
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#12
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Senior Cruiser

Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Thunder Bay, Ontario - 48-29N x 89-20W
Boat: (Cruiser Living On Dirt)
Posts: 47,083
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Quote:
Originally Posted by StuM
Ah yes, global warming. It causes everything including diametrically opposing effects simultaneously...
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The question is not, whether climate change caused this, or that event.
Rather, one should ask whether climate change made this, or that event, more (or less) likely to occur.
Or, whether it (likely) made the event more (or less) intense.
__________________
Gord May
"If you didn't have the time or money to do it right in the first place, when will you get the time/$ to fix it?"
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14-03-2020, 13:29
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Alert Bay, Vancouver Island
Boat: 35ft classic ketch/yawl.
Posts: 1,971
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
Discovery 15797;3094369 - There are a few key things here...
"...monitored over several years" - NOT several millennia. For example, I don't recall reading any "global hysteria" stating that several thousand years ago the earth's sea levels were much higher than they are today.
Monitored over several years means taking the same readings at the sae places the using running averages to come up with statistically significant figures for the current rate of change.
"...not due to 'normal' cyclic varyations [sic]" - what we consider normal variations are a snapshot from a very very brief period of earth history.
I agree. Mans history on earth is, geologically speaking, brief and recent. We have direct recordings going back maybe 5000yrs (China, middle east and India) from observations of earlier civilizations. Archeological evidence of, for example the Iron Age mini glaciation go back further but after that we can still get accurate climate data from things like ice cores and rock sample. I suggest that we have a good understanding of climate variations from the Pliocene to present.
'Normal, variation does not mean the last hundred years but included things like the variation in the suns output, glaciation etc.
The earth is an amazing planet that is alive and in constant flux.
Absolutely and the concern is not that the earth will not survive. It has survived much greater changes and life remains. The concern is that the rate of change will be very challenging for all species. We are already in to the 5 mass extinction phase and unless we plan to follow the dinosaurs we need to slow the change to something mammals can adapt to. Rates of change in the geological record such as the onset of glacial periods are orders of magnitude slower. As an example the rise of sea level you refer to happened over a few thousand years not 50-100
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14-03-2020, 14:26
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2018
Location: Wichita/Pensacola
Boat: Lagoon TPI 37'
Posts: 560
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Re: Faster winds and faster currents
I paid less on my heating bill this year, this is proof there is global warming. Of course my wife told me that I have evolved since she has met me.
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