Well, for fellow northern Gulf of Mexico
dwellers, Cristobal, roughly 100 miles inland, is currently influencing an area of about 280,000 square miles, or a circle loosely defined by the diameter drawn between the western tip of Cuba
and the center of the Bay of Campeche (on the same latitude).
Whilst the NHC forecast
is for increasing shear to develop (limiting formation to 'only' tropical storm force), and the surface temperature of the gulf is only just at or a little below the 'magic' 86F (30C) below which hurricanes (supposedly) can't form, the likely deeper layer of the available thermal energy may have more to say about the development, or not, than the as-yet-to-develop shear, or NOAA's predictions.
Wouldn't be suprised to see, (if the storm redevelops over water) Cat 1-3 at second landfall, even this early in the season.
Me? on the current
track, I anticipate some good sailing weather
for my smallest boats next Monday and Tuesday...
As usual, forewarned is forearmed.