Originally Posted by s/v Beth
Belize makes some very good points, in fact every time we were in bad weather
that we did not know was coming it was because of a land mass close by. We had a gale hit us because of Katabolic winds off of Olympus at O300. Not forecast
, but real. Coming from the ESE when the prevailing were from the NW. One more reason not to like the land-sea interface.
We get some wicked local wind
effects here in Panama
too that are not predcited by any models. You could probably infer when there is a higher probability of occurrence with some obseration and research
, but certainly nothing that predicts them currently.
Got caught in about a 40 knot
on a kayaking trip last year here in Panama
. It was VERY localized, blowing offshore
out of the one bay we needed to get back into. The two adjacent bays, literally within a few hundred meters of the first, were calm. It blew like this all afternoon. We had to land in another bay and hike back to our vehicles.
Closer to the OPs plans, there are localized high wind events
in the San Blas too.