Tropical Disturbance Invest Area AL99, potential tropical storm ‘Sara’:
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western
Caribbean Sea.
Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
meanders over the western
Caribbean Sea through the weekend.
The system is
forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should
monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over
Jamaica and portions of
Haiti during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: 80% [high].
* Formation chance through 7 days: 90%.
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion: 0605 UTC Wed Nov 13 2024
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml
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