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Old 12-05-2007, 16:00   #16
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Marathon, Florida
Boat: Cape Dory 28, "Night Wind"
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Camaraderie,
wind speed at FWF1 didn't drop till well after sunrise, had we stayed up till then, we would have arrived dead tired in the pitch dark ... not a doable situation. Nexrad radar verified that had we left last night, there is no way we would have avoided the severe thunderstorms, and high winds.
Bob
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Old 12-05-2007, 19:58   #17
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Bob...I guess only you know your own condition and whether you could have dodged thunderstorms so I will defer to your judgement but...the buoy data from 9pm onward last night does not show any high winds until this evening.
MM DD TIME(EDT) WDIR WSPD kts GSTkts
0512 8:00 pm SW 15 16
0512 7:00 pm SSW 17 19
0512 6:00 pm SSW 22 23
0512 5:00 pm S 21 23
0512 4:00 pm S 17 18
0512 3:00 pm S 15 15
0512 2:00 pm S 9 10
0512 1:00 pm SSW 6 7
051212:00 pm SW 7 8
051211:00 am WSW 8 10
051210:00 am WSW 14 15
0512 9:00 am WSW 12 13
0512 8:00 am W 11 13
0512 7:00 am W 12 14
0512 6:00 am W 14 15
0512 5:00 am W 15 16
0512 4:00 am W 15 18
0512 3:00 am W 13 15
0512 2:00 am W 14 16
0512 1:00 am WSW 16 17
051212:00 am WSW 15 16
051111:00 pm WSW 15 15
051110:00 pm W 14 15
0511 9:00 pm W 16 19

If you were tired, you were right to delay and if you see unpredicted T-storms marching across the Penninsula that's also a good reason but I do find it strange that neither Ft. Lauderdale, WPB or West End Bahamas received ANY precipitation from those severe storms. Where did you see them?

I've crossed the stream from both Lauderdale and WPB quite a few uneventful times and often wished for WIND conditions like the above. If you plan on motoring across that is a different story but i would think a CD likes around 15 knots on a reach with 1-2 ft. seas. (You have a great boat!)
Anyway...you're the captain and you have to choose conditions you feel comfortable with and I'm not there and the data I have available might be different from what you experienced.
BTW...if you are headed to the Abacos...you might try coming onto the banks at Memory Rock and continuing on to Great Sale then checking in the next day at Spanish Cay or (preferably) green turtle. We've found it to be a less harrowing passage and it also avoids the prices and no-see-ums of West End. FWIW. Have a great trip!
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