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18-04-2016, 16:33
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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2016 Weather to the Azores
With early boats having departed already I though someone may be interested in looking up weather information related to wether outlook between the West Indies and the Azores.
At least one serious source assumes we are in for an about average year re number of named storms and hurricanes.
Today the situation looks indifferent with no High in sight and a heavy brew possibly sweeping the whole area during the week. You will spot an early sign of what later may becone the High in the lower portion of 96 hrs forecast.
I am not posting links becuase the images have sticky names and they are rolling and so we would not have a quick reference material without extra work.
I may come back and post an update even if there is zero interest in this as last year I got numerous posters asking me things related to this period and area.
Cheers,
b.
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18-04-2016, 16:59
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 62
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
Hmm. We just had a tornado passing S. Miguel island less than 24 hours ago if that interests anybody.
Tony
Enviado do meu GT-I9195 através de Tapatalk
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20-04-2016, 06:21
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
April 20 : Lows rolling on. The one W of Galicia helping those who are trying to escape the Med for the summer. Some amount of High lingers at the bottom of the image but it is 'too little too early'. The low moving in from the left can go where it likes as it likes and at this stage it is not forecast to intensify beyond a gale.
Cheers,
b.
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22-04-2016, 05:31
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
April 22 update:
A weak High shields the Eastern portion of the Atlantic from a long trailing front. This front forecast to give two Low system nests - one above the Azores, the other around Bermuda.
Nothing spectacular. Big ships are sailing, small fish sit on the dock and sip another beer. Images attached. (all images: NOAA)
b.
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22-04-2016, 08:58
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Laboe - Germany
Posts: 528
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
@barnakiel:
I am watching your synopsis with interest even that I am not crossing in 2016 myself.
Thanks!
Carsten
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22-04-2016, 11:00
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Florida
Boat: Catalina 470
Posts: 2,583
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
b,
Thanks for this...
and, although I'm not crossing this year either, I'm watching as well....that is, until I head out-of-town on a short vacation!
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarstenWL
I am watching your synopsis with interest even that I am not crossing in 2016 myself.
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FYI, there are still folks planning eastern Caribbean-to-Europe passages via Bermuda...
http://www.cruisersforum.com/forums/...ml#post2103567
Wishing them all Fair Winds!
John
__________________
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s/v Annie Laurie, WDB6927
MMSI# 366933110
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22-04-2016, 12:33
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
Us not crossing now either, hence I can post here and update the thread maybe till late May or early June. Then I will be more busy as most of my clients will be sailing to the Azores and onwards to Europe late May and June.
We ourselves may cross late 2016 going West then sail back in 2017. I think it will be nice to dig the thread out in a year and see how the patterns developed the year before. Easier than unearthing archived NOAA chartlets, gribs and other stuff.
Cheers,
b.
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22-04-2016, 18:29
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#9
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Long Range Cruiser
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,822
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
I'm sailing to New York late May/early June so I am watching it.
Closely
8-)
Sent from a stupid phone that replaces words with weird stuff.
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22-04-2016, 19:22
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Annapolis MD
Boat: Building a Max Cruise 44 hybrid electric cat
Posts: 3,198
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkJ
I'm sailing to New York late May/early June so I am watching it.
Closely
8-)
Sent from a stupid phone that replaces words with weird stuff.
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79st again? We debated running up there too this summer, but boat work has been slow.
We hope to cross the Atlantic again in 2017, but this time from the Caribbean. That's if we don't actually have to get jobs soon
Matt
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22-04-2016, 19:32
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Western Caribbean
Boat: 38/41 Fountains pajot
Posts: 3,060
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
We're hdg to Bermuda sometime after the 2nd then on to the Azores. Watching the weather like a hawk. If anyone's bored and wants to keep us updated there's be some beer or rum in it for you lol..
Sent from my PLT1077G using Cruisers Sailing Forum mobile app
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24-04-2016, 07:30
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
April 24 update:
Today some High pressure present in the East part of the basin then a couple of thousand miles' worth of weather front from the Low over the Azores all the way Hispaniola. One look at this front and you know there will be secondary systems along this one soon. Behind the front you will notice a shy High rolling on (1018/1017 on the chartlet). I like this one.
96hrs forecast is the interesting one though: you can see a secondary Low forecast at 30N/40W 1008 becoming 1004. My first tip is notice where it is and how it became, my other tip is download a grib and notice its forecast long range track. You do not want to sit on top of one like this when making your crossing. Watching this one casts some light on the phrase 'too early' discussed last year here at CF.
Wishing everyone fine weather.
b.
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26-04-2016, 07:27
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: between the devil and the deep blue sea
Boat: a sailing boat
Posts: 20,437
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
No. 96 hour forecasts are not supposed to be spot on. Just think about probability of removed events.
Right now I cannot write up a daily but I will try to return here later today and share what there is.
b.
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26-04-2016, 08:00
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#15
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Senior Cruiser
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: PORTUGAL
Posts: 30,616
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Re: 2016 Weather to the Azores
Quote:
Originally Posted by barnakiel
No. 96 hour forecasts are not supposed to be spot on. Just think about probability of removed events.
Right now I cannot write up a daily but I will try to return here later today and share what there is.
b.
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No.. they are not.. learnt that in the very mobile Biscay where even 36hrs ahead is a dubious 50/50.. that's why I just look for a nice couple of days at the start.. after that its take it as it comes..
However someone contemplating it for the 1st time may well be in a Stay-Go-Stay dilemma.. looks good.. then on the last trip for fresh bread a quick last minute check shows biggo crappo in 6 days.. back to boat.. 'All of lads.. if we go now we'll hit a Hoolie'.. 3 days later the 'Hoolie' is a flat calm
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"I Love You.. ". Murray Roman.
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