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Old Yesterday, 18:13   #31
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Re: Hurricane season in the Bahamas - a good idea?

Hurricane tracks are pretty good now. You're not going to get blindsided by one.
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Old Yesterday, 19:56   #32
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Re: Hurricane season in the Bahamas - a good idea?

Quote:
Originally Posted by kmacdonald View Post
Hurricane tracks are pretty good now. You're not going to get blindsided by one.
The Atlantic/Carib cyclones are certainly well tracked and better behaved than storms in many other places of the world. You are not going to be surprised about the existence of a storm. There are a ton of studies looking at the prediction uncertainty in Atlantic storm forecasts. Just looked at a NOAA report for 2011 and it shows the distance error at the 5 day forecast averages 245 miles with a max of 400 miles. Not easy to escape from on a 5kt slug.
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