Cruisers Forum
 


Join CruisersForum Today

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread Display Modes
Old 19-06-2009, 10:09   #1
Registered User

Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 2
Marquesas to Mexico

I am presently in Ecuador heading for the Marquesas to cruise for a couple of months. I was wondering if anyone had heard of going directly from there to Mexico. Looking at Visual Passage Planer, If I stay to weather and make as much easting as possible up to 24 degrees north and then motor due east till I pick up northerly's and then down into Mexico. I would be leaving the Marquesas in late October. Have I lost my mind? Am I MAD? Thanks Bob S/V Taisho
__________________
rneun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-06-2009, 10:17   #2
Registered User
 
Randy's Avatar

Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: San Diego
Boat: Searunner 31
Posts: 639
Bob
In the absense of other advise checkout: Noonsite: The global site for cruising sailors It's Jimmy Cornell's website and he covers how to get from one place on this planet to virtually anywhere & when the most favorable times to do the trip.

Happy Cruising
Randy
__________________
Randy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-06-2009, 11:35   #3
Registered User

Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: WNA
Boat: Dufour 35
Posts: 3,247
No Bob, I don't think you're mad

Look at this modern day pilot-chart:


It's from the COGOW site ( Climatology of Global Ocean Winds - COGOW), currently the best source of up to date planning info for cruisers (and others).

What about this scenario?
Head North as you mention. From about the equator, you should be able to shape your course more easterly. As you can see the wind is mainly southerly just south of ITCZ ( along 8N ). Once you reach, say 6 - 7 N you should be able to head due E. Also at this latitude you should have quite a bit of help from the Equatorial counter current.
Once you reach, say 7N , 108W head N to NE straight for Mexico ( Acapulco ). At the end you will run into light winds and may have to motor for 300 - 500 miles.
You will probably have some squally weather sailing relatively close to ITCZ.
Note, a big uncertainty factor is the present ENSO state. It looks like we are heading from a La Nina to an El Nino situation.

From the 4:th of june NOAA update :
Quote:
There continues to be considerable spread in the model forecasts for the Niņo-3.4 region (Fig. 5).
All statistical models predict ENSO-neutral conditions will continue for the remainder of 2009. However,
most dynamical models, including the NCEP Climate Forecast System, predict the onset of El Niņo
during June − August 2009. Current observations, recent trends, and the dynamical model forecasts
indicate that conditions are favorable for a transition from ENSO-neutral to El Niņo conditions during
June − August 2009.
From earlier El Nino periods we know that the trades have even ceased to exist for periods. But on the other hand your trip i taking place in a situation that may be the start of an El Nino period.

What do you think? Maybe I'm the mad one!
Thomas.

__________________
cagney is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
marquesas, Mexico

Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
2009 Galapagos Marquesas etc Fishman Pacific & South China Sea 12 26-01-2009 22:05
To the Marquesas, and Beyond . . . TaoJones Monohull Sailboats 8 19-09-2007 23:10
Hans Christian lost on way to Marquesas Trim50 General Sailing Forum 0 21-06-2007 22:39
La Paz to Marquesas - too late? Oceangybe Seamanship & Boat Handling 7 07-06-2007 04:04
Clearing In / Out - Marquesas Salacia Rules of the Road, Regulations & Red Tape 0 27-02-2005 21:56



Copyright 2002- Social Knowledge, LLC All Rights Reserved.

All times are GMT -7. The time now is 19:28.


Google+
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Social Knowledge Networks
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

ShowCase vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.