always follows a path that it determines, which is always unpredictable because of the variables involved.
For centuries experts, amateurs, and idiots have attempted to control lightning. None have really been successful...if they had, we would all know the one answer to your question...think about it.
We have never been struck, but have been close to a boat that was struck. He had a carbon mast. The electromagnetic pulse did more damage than the electric
charge and there was no visible exit-path to the water
. His mast was not bonded. The boat was a 43 Katana.
There are hundreds of experts here that will fact-check (google) every answer to your question.