Atlantic Delivery

[SaltyMonkey]

Very funny Gadagirl!

[Gadagirl]

Well since we're waiting for his next heading, and speculations from us spectators, and it has been a slow day on the thread.............

[Neo]

Originally Posted by Therapy

They had to show me.
If you can get here then you can get there -> SPOT Shared Page

I'm in China for another few weeks, and I guess the central government thinks that boatman is a subversive. They are blocking his spot page. In fact, I googled the word subversive to check the spelling and that was blocked too.

[SaltyMonkey]

Hurry back Neo!

[SaltyMonkey]

Originally Posted by Gadagirl

Well since we're waiting for his next heading, and speculations from us spectators, and it has been a slow day on the thread.............

Gave me a smile too. I have to send that youtube to a friend

[Neo]

I can't look at funny youtube videos either. But the people are wonderful and the food is great here in sunny Hainan.

[Andrew Troup]

re inter-continental thread drift

Originally Posted by Tropic Cat

I thought it was strictly bi-coastal

Pent-up-coastal?

[Andrew Troup]

Originally Posted by Gadagirl

Gosh, Gadagirl, I wish I'd remembered that perky wee, infinitely and craftily recursive, but strangely compelling Muzakal loop, the time I played the organ when my Mum remarried.

She was somewhat more than fashionably late, and I'd pretty much exhausted everything Bach ever wrote (OK, I exaggerate, but my fingerprints were pretty much history) by the time she swanned in unexpectedly, and swept down the aisle looking infuriatingly unabashed.

[Andrew Troup]

Actually, Gada, your posting name reminds me of another tune which I could have bent to my purpose.

I'm thinking of the pipe-organ arrangement of "In-A-Gadda-Da-Vida" by the famous transcriber Bart Simpson.

I seem to remember it was at least as interminable as the original (and just about as gr8)

ON EDIT
Here ya go (stills only, for copyright reasons)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZ4pkdn0u1I

[Blue Crab]

Originally Posted by Neo

I'm in China for another few weeks, and I guess the central government thinks that boatman is a subversive. They are blocking his spot page. In fact, I googled the word subversive to check the spelling and that was blocked too.

Is there really a General Tso? Or is it like "Col" Sanders?

How many CFers listened to the intermission to the end? You know I did. I may have thrown in a move or two as I skipped over to the Thermos for a coffee refill.

As so often the case, Gadagirl, your posts are so perfectly pertinent. A Tip O the Tilley to your wonderful sense of humor.

[ka4wja]

It is Thursday, 6 March 2014....and Phil's position as of a few hours ago was 31* 17' N x 39* 52' W
And, he's been heading ENE'erly for days now...although a tiny bit more NE'erly in the past 24hours...


And, just a cursory look at the weather charts this morning, shows weather looking good for him, for the next couple days...as a couple Highs build in to his NW and SW (and a ridge may form), he should still have good winds thru Saturday...
And, he'll probably continue on the same / similar course...


Sun/Mon is a bit complicated (depending on exactly where he is by then), he could have some northerly winds or he could have head winds...
The further he can get by Sunday the more likely he'll have favorable winds...(but he doesn't want to fly too fast, as there is a Low predicted to be quite strong near 35*N/20*W, with some 40kts NNW and 16'-20' seas predicted near 35*N/23*W on Sunday, and he wouldn't want to be close to that..)
So, here again it's needle threading time!!

Maybe he'll get near 33*-34*N by 30*W, by Sunday...and he'd certainly try to be east of 29*W by Monday.....let's look again tomorrow to see exact how the weather looks for Monday...


I hope this helps those of you who don't have access to "subversive" sites like the US NWS/NOAA...


Fair winds, Phil!


John
s/v Annie Laurie

Originally Posted by ka4wja

Ann,
He's actually he's in a pretty good place today...

He should be seeing 1018mb to 1020mb....as he is still just south of 30* and staying east of the front...(as of 8 hours ago)

Which is just where I predicted (4 - 5 days ago) he'd be by Monday and Tuesday...




Dave, I'm not using Grib's...as I use the NWS/NOAA synoptic charts...
And, Phil has been taking the exact same route that I would (using these synoptic wefax charts), and I suspect that is what he's been using.???

He appears to be threading the needle between the current High to his starboard bow, and the advancing front to his port side...(just as I've been predicting..)

Looking into the future, he'll probably get above 30*N - 31*N, possibly to 32*N by Thursday as he gets east of 40*W (certainly by 38* W) ....and this should keep him in SW'erlies (or close to it) for the next 2 days...

And further out, the High building just west of the Azores later in the week will cause some issues...but..
But, he may have N'erly winds by Sat AM...(north of 30*N, around 30* W +/-)...so, if he heads NE'erly this week, and gets some northing in before the end of the week AND can still stay east of the front, he may find himself on the opposite tack by the weekend, but still making good progress toward Gib....
(again 4 - 5 days out, it's a crap-shoot...but a possibility to shoot for!!)


Forecasts looking out 4 - 5 days aren't 100%...
And, this time of year....yep, it's tricky!!
(This time of year in the N. Atlantic, making plans 48 hours out is good....72 hours is okay....but 4 - 5 days can be a crap-shoot...)

But, so far so good...


Now, if I can blow my own horn a bit....except for Phil needing to stay further south (due to more "active" weather above 30*) than I would've guessed a few weeks ago, he's been progressing along the route that I predicted...


Fair winds Phil!!

John
s/v Annie Laurie

[Therapy]

Originally Posted by Neo

I'm in China for another few weeks, and I guess the central government thinks that boatman is a subversive. They are blocking his spot page. In fact, I googled the word subversive to check the spelling and that was blocked too.

Well............hummm.............they got the subversive part right.

Good old China. Just love em' don't we?

[SaltyMonkey]

Yeha. Boaty will do just fine. I predict he'll skim that bad stuff.

Will he keep going or will he stop to take a pee @ Madeira?

any bets?

[IdoraKeeper]

Aside from the fact that this thread is excellent advertising for Boatman's services, I hope he does not end up mortified by all this attention. Any body here care to give an informed multi hull opinion on how this particular Lagoon is faring? What would likely be Boatman's current equipment travails?

[DoubleWhisky]

Looks as Phil was headed at least, as he is going NEN now.