Cruisers Forum
 


Join CruisersForum Today

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread Display Modes
Old 19-03-2009, 04:02   #1
Long Range Cruiser
 
MarkJ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,828
Images: 25
ANOTHER frikkin Cyclone!

Whoever was the dunce that decided we should pop in here during the cyclone season has just confirmed a low has just turned into a Tropical Low

Quote:
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 19U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 16.9S
Longitude: 155.0E
Location Accuracy: within 60 nm [110 km]
Movement Towards: south southwest [200 deg]
Speed of Movement: 4 knots [7 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Central Pressure: 999 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: n/a
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 90 nm [165 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 19/1800: 17.7S 154.2E: 090 [165]: 030 [055]: 995
+24: 20/0600: 17.5S 153.1E: 120 [220]: 030 [055]: 995
+36: 20/1800: 16.8S 152.6E: 150 [280]: 035 [065]: 992
+48: 21/0600: 15.4S 152.2E: 185 [345]: 050 [095]: 984
+60: 21/1800: 14.6S 152.5E: 230 [430]: 060 [110]: 975
+72: 22/0600: 14.6S 154.0E: 290 [535]: 065 [120]: 973
REMARKS:
Irregular vis CDO pattern. DT is 2.0. MET is 1.5. PAT is 2.0. Final T is 2.0.
System expected to be slow moving in a weak steering environment during the next
24 to 48 hours. Slow to average deepening forecast under weak shear.
We already have a Gale Warning:

Central Coast Waters, Bowen to St Lawrence:
A gale warning is current.
Thursday until midnight: S/SE winds 20/33 knots, increasing to 34/40 knots tonight. Seas rising 3 to 4 metres in open waters. Scattered showers.
Friday: SE winds 34/40 knots. Seas 3 to 4 metres in open waters. Scattered showers.
Saturday: SE winds 20/30 knots.
Sunday: SE winds 20/30 knots. Wind strength and direction dependent on low movement and development.
__________________

__________________
Notes on a Circumnavigation.
OurLifeAtSea.com

Somalia Pirates and our Convoy
MarkJ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 05:14   #2
Moderator Emeritus
 
FrankZ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Chesapeake Bay
Boat: Bristol 35 Bellesa
Posts: 13,565
Images: 1
But now you are experienced and so it isn't scary at all... right.. just run of the mill...

Good luck.
__________________

__________________
Sing to a sailor's courage, Sing while the elbows bend,
A ruby port your harbor, Raise three sheets to the wind.
......................-=Krynnish drinking song=-
FrankZ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 05:36   #3
Long Range Cruiser
 
MarkJ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,828
Images: 25
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankZ View Post
But now you are experienced and so it isn't scary at all... right.. just run of the mill...

Good luck.
Yes Its just a downer because we wanted some nice weather to go snorkeling. The only nice day since the last one we were over at Arile beach provisioning! LOL

They will name it Jasper later tonight or tomorrow...

Why don't they have Butch names like... Mark or Frank?
__________________
Notes on a Circumnavigation.
OurLifeAtSea.com

Somalia Pirates and our Convoy
MarkJ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 05:40   #4
Moderator Emeritus
 
FrankZ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Chesapeake Bay
Boat: Bristol 35 Bellesa
Posts: 13,565
Images: 1
I think you are threatening enough to the Pacific all on your own without having a cyclone named for you.
__________________
Sing to a sailor's courage, Sing while the elbows bend,
A ruby port your harbor, Raise three sheets to the wind.
......................-=Krynnish drinking song=-
FrankZ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 06:07   #5
Senior Cruiser
 
44'cruisingcat's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,454
Images: 69
Well at least you know where to go. But hopefully this one is just going to head out to sea.......hopefully.
__________________
44'cruisingcat is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 06:09   #6
Registered User

Join Date: Feb 2007
Boat: 1973 Morgan 36T
Posts: 808
Images: 17
Quote:
Yes Its just a downer because we wanted some nice weather to go snorkeling. The only nice day since the last one we were over at Arile beach provisioning! LOL
Stop bellyaching. You are spoiled.
Maybe during this one you can play cards or Tiddlywinks.

Have fun man.

Paul
__________________
Morgan Paul is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 06:28   #7
CF Adviser
Moderator Emeritus
 
Hud3's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Virginia
Boat: Island Packet 380, now sold
Posts: 8,929
Images: 49
Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	Cyclone Magnet.jpg
Views:	99
Size:	192.2 KB
ID:	7476  
__________________
Hud
Hud3 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 15:23   #8
Long Range Cruiser
 
MarkJ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,828
Images: 25
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hud3 View Post
Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
You funny man, Hud!

I will show Nicolle when she wakes up... prolly this afternoon



Mark
__________________
Notes on a Circumnavigation.
OurLifeAtSea.com

Somalia Pirates and our Convoy
MarkJ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 16:54   #9
Senior Cruiser
 
maxingout's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Fort Pierce, Phoenix
Boat: Privilege 39 Catamaran, Exit Only
Posts: 2,606
Life is really boring here in Phoenix. No storms, cyclones, mangroves or dragging anchors. I am immersed in an ocean of dull.

But thanks to you, I now have a vicarious adventure in my life. I can check the weather charts and follow the cyclone drama on internet.

Thanks for sailing north and giving me this opportunity for adventure. Keep up the good work.
__________________
Dave -Sailing Vessel Exit Only

http://SailingUNI.com
http://maxingout.com
http://PositiveThinkingSailor.com
maxingout is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 19:55   #10
Registered User
 
bill good's Avatar

Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Brisbane Australia
Boat: sold
Posts: 721
This is why we delay the trip Nth until after April. The stinger season is coupled to the cyclone season as well!! But hay you are both young & need the adventure. Read the signs about critters about Hinchinbrook if you are heading there. A friend disregarded the warings & found one grinning at him which increased his heart rate. They really like fresh from Sydney!!

How is Nicholle progressing with the soldering? I lost your email address & was going to send her some tips.

Regards Bill
__________________
bill good is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 19-03-2009, 20:06   #11
CF Adviser
Moderator Emeritus
 
TaoJones's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Montrose, Colorado
Posts: 9,850
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hud3 View Post
Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
Excellent work, Hud. You know, with a name like Cyclone Magnet, you would probably have a lot of anchorages to yourself.

TaoJones
__________________
"Your vision becomes clear only when you look into your own heart. Who looks outside, dreams; who looks within, awakens."
Carl Gustav Jung (1875-1961)
TaoJones is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20-03-2009, 02:01   #12
Long Range Cruiser
 
MarkJ's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Australian living on "Sea Life" currently in England.
Boat: Beneteau 393 "Sea Life"
Posts: 12,828
Images: 25
Quote:
Originally Posted by bill good View Post
. The stinger season is coupled to the cyclone season as well!! But hay you are both young & need the adventure.
Yeah, we have stinger suits and if I spray them with insect repelant someone said crocs won't attack?
Sorry thats probably a poor joke at the moment

Quote:
Originally Posted by bill good View Post
How is Nicholle progressing with the soldering? I lost your email address & was going to send her some tips.

Regards Bill
We had a soldering job the other day but it was 3 wires to a circuit board so I took it into a computer shop and the guy did it in a jiffy and charged not much. He asked me why I didnt take it to the Marine Electronics guy at the likety-split marina....

Re the cyclone: It seems to be imploding on itself and may dissapear up a cloud of.. cloud

Incidently I found a weather forum and the geeks on it are totally pissed off the cyclone isn't intensifying and going to cream their front doorsteps

They use seriously big words on their forum! But I know a disgruntled geek when I see one (Has anyone seen a gruntled one?)


Mark
__________________
Notes on a Circumnavigation.
OurLifeAtSea.com

Somalia Pirates and our Convoy
MarkJ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21-03-2009, 11:20   #13
Senior Cruiser
 
Jim Cate's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: May 2008
Location: cruising SW Pacific
Boat: Jon Sayer 1-off 46 ft fract rig sloop strip plank in W Red Cedar
Posts: 11,461
Mark,
Looks like we can (maybe) stop worrying for now... Yippeee!!!

And, I fear that the gruntilization of geeks is a lost art... if you tried to do it, they's just whup you with the big words anyway!

Cheers,
Jim
__________________
Jim and Ann s/v Insatiable II , lying Port Cygnet, Tasmania once again
Jim Cate is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 21-03-2009, 15:13   #14
Registered User

Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Central Coast NSW
Boat: motorsailer 17.7oa The Road
Posts: 24
I too have been watching your postings re the cyclones. I just hope that you continue to use them all up, as I hope to be heading up there in about a month or so from NSW Central Coast. It will be my first trip South to North against the current.
It is going to be slow going in my boat but Im looking forward to the trip and of course the destination
Neil
On "The Road"
__________________
neilrob is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21-03-2009, 15:19   #15
Marine Service Provider
 
Factor's Avatar

Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Brisbane Australia
Boat: Corsair Dash MKII
Posts: 4,084
Neil - stay as close in to shore as you feel comfortable on the way up, certainly stay no wider than the 20 metre contour and you will avoid the worst of the EAC.
__________________

__________________
Factor is online now   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Who Ordered the Frikkin Cyclone?! MarkJ Pacific & South China Sea 131 18-03-2009 00:47
Tropical Cyclone Alan Wheeler Cruising News & Events 3 20-01-2008 11:20
cyclone Alan Wheeler Pacific & South China Sea 36 25-04-2006 03:19
yet another cyclone Alan Wheeler Pacific & South China Sea 0 08-03-2005 12:08
yet another cyclone Alan Wheeler General Sailing Forum 3 04-03-2005 05:51



Copyright 2002- Social Knowledge, LLC All Rights Reserved.

All times are GMT -7. The time now is 16:51.


Google+
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Social Knowledge Networks
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

ShowCase vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.