I hope y'all stay as safe and sound as possible, Zee and all the others in that area.
I've been following Patricia closely since it's beginning (WX nut).
The NHC this morning (0900UTC report) announced that Patricia is the strongest hurricane/cyclone yet measured in BOTH the Eastern Pacific AND the Atlantic. It is a monster of historic proportions:
Hurricane PATRICIA Forecast Discussion
"Data from three center fixes by the Hurricane
Hunters indicate that the intensity, based on a blend of 700 mb-flight level and SFMR-observed surface winds, is near 175 kt. This makes Patricia the strongest hurricane on record in the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility (AOR) which includes the Atlantic and the eastern North Pacific basins. The minimum central pressure estimated from the aircraft data, 880 mb, is the lowest ever for our AOR. It seems incredible that even more strengthening could occur before landfall later today, but recent microwave imagery shows hints of a concentric eyewall developing."
Hurricane PATRICIA Forecast Advisory
"HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.5W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 880 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 175 KT WITH GUSTS TO 215 KT
. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 60SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 240SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.5W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 105.4W
(following near future fcst indicates further strenghting expected):
VALID 23/1800Z 18.8N 105.4W MAX WIND 180 KT...GUSTS 220 KT
. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 130NW. "
NOW: Steady winds- 175KT/201mph, gusts to 215KT/247mph
FCST soon: Steady winds- 180KT/207mph, gusts to 220KT/253mph
There isn't much that can withstand winds like that...especially the effect of gusting.
I went through (slightly inland) a weakened Hurricane Allen (and many others), which held the most intense/or second storm record
, awesome scary stuff. Twice experienced steady winds of 100-110mph+ in the house, cannot imagine 200mph+ in a house or aboard a boat...
Some links, NHC and NESDIS satellite
National Hurricane Center
Latest Satellite Imagery
East Pacific Tropical Products:
East Pacific Tropical Page - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations
Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters:
Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations
And of course for the really detailed stuff there is the NMOC and others.
Again, hoping for the best for those in the path of Patricia.
I cannot image anyone actually out on the water
anywhere close to this could survive it, even aboard large ships.