Originally Posted by rjrap
In Feb you are looking at WSW wind
approx 7 knots based on historical weather data.
Winter sailing on the SoCal coast can
bring some pretty heavy weather. Typically it's either blowing 40kts or no wind at all. Thus the "avg 7 kts historical data" (which is worthless information).
There is a series of winter storms rolling through right now and it was blowing 50kts in thunderstorms, with sightings of water spouts last weekend, just off of LB Harbor. This weekend is supposed to be similar. Right now, there are marine
warnings up. After this next storm blows through, it may well be dead calm and you may have to motor
the entire distance so be sure that the engine
is up to it.
Don't pay a lot of attention to the forecasts until 3 days prior to departure. 3-day forecasts here are usually pretty reliable but you must be prepared for anything. Winter sailing off the Cal
coast should be taken seriously on an over-nighter.
BTW unbusted67 is right.......it is only 90 miles. However, I would still do it as an over-nighter. It's always best to time your arrival at an unfamiliar port for before noon. That way, if you have issues along the way or there is a light breeze, you are not forced to push the boat to get in before sunset.
I'd leave about 5:PM. That way if you do 7kts all the way down, you'll arrive happy & proud, around dawn. If you only average 4kts, you'll still be in happily before sunset and hopefully not have to motor
at all. Remember, the more that you run the engine
, the higher the chance of an engine failure. If you were more familiar with the boat, this wouldn't be as big an issue. However, you really don't know much about that engine and I
wouldn't put a lot of faith in it.
I remember a guy that sailed over to Catalina from San Diego, a few years back and got dis-masted on the return voyage. They found him 3 months later drifting off of Costa Rica
. Sailors get in trouble in that channel all the time. 99% of passages go without incident. You are wise to be prepared for anything.