Yes it did, it formed from a chain of thunderstorms interacting with a broad low attached to a tropical wave that had left Cape Verde
10 days ago.
That is my point. Assume ALL tropical waves will develop, and you will be wrong half the time. The last wave Invest 93L has turned north to Bermuda
, that leaves 7 days before the next dangerous wave.
The OP's choices are few, 1. leave now in between two tropical waves, that might develop, or 2. wait until next year.
In the winter he will have to go to weather
against massive cold fronts, one a few years...(decades), ago forced me to Call CG for help.
Or wait until the spring storms formed by jet stream shifts, and can be sudden, or wait until next summer right before the hurricane
season, and hope an early storm doesn't delay him until yet the next year.
If he was going to do a Carribean loop? I would say Don't do it!
But a Florida
Panhandle shortcut? Doable with constant weather
checks, (get a satelite feed, and be ready to reef or motor
If he picks a lull in between two tropical waves I would do it. I go out fishing
this time of year every month, Mostly calm conditions, I stay inshore if a wave is in the Gulf..(look at passageweather, or Buoyweather, or below)
Ocean Prediction Center - Product Loops