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Old 19-02-2015, 00:32   #1
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Aussie Cyclones

Hope all you guys in the cyclone affected areas are locked down nice and tight.
Good luck and best wishes.
Chris
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Old 19-02-2015, 01:17   #2
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Marcia now closer to Mackay than expected. If you look at radar it blowing at up to 167kph at Creal Reef weather station NE of Mackay.

256 km Mackay Radar Loop

Best shut up the shed doors and prepare just in case.

cheers
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Old 19-02-2015, 01:34   #3
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Gone from cat 1 now saying cat 4 when it crosses the coast


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Old 19-02-2015, 02:21   #4
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Am concerned as it is close to Mackay and forcast to cross as Cat 5.

Could easily hit Mackay although WB still suggest heading south.
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Old 19-02-2015, 02:21   #5
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Cat 5 on crossing now. Been full of surprises, this one.

Not looking good for the Kate and the guys on Percy Isle.
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Old 19-02-2015, 02:25   #6
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

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Originally Posted by Reefmagnet View Post
Cat 5 on crossing now. Been full of surprises, this one.

Not looking good for the Kate and the guys on Percy Isle.
Just noticed your location was downunder
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Old 19-02-2015, 02:28   #7
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

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Just noticed your location was downunder
Might be upside downunder if this damned storm doesn't start turning south!
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Old 19-02-2015, 02:30   #8
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Hang in there, guys. We're watching and sending good thoughts from Tassie (glad to be here for yet another reason now!).

Good luck all

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Old 19-02-2015, 04:14   #9
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

9 pm track
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Old 19-02-2015, 04:44   #10
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Prediction now is for 270 kmh that's um... 145 knots in the gusts. It went from cat1 to cat5 in about 8 hours!

We've sailed through there. Not densely populated which is its beauty but still plenty of people, scary stuff, I hope they're ok.
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Old 19-02-2015, 04:52   #11
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Oz cyclone chasers are a great way to track on fb. They have a good video posted on why it will head south now etc. I think Mackay will be missed but you never know. I am in Gladstone so not too safe either, more worried about the storm surge. My boat is on the pile moorings in Auckland creek and just got a text alert saying 80cm storm surge above high tide. This is a photo of today's high tide and tomorrow's is slightly higher! Should be ok hopefully. Click image for larger version

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Old 19-02-2015, 05:13   #12
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

!0 pm position
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Old 19-02-2015, 05:14   #13
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

Looks like it's doing a turn straight down the coast now!


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Old 19-02-2015, 08:04   #14
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

1am position. Should be OK in Mackay now
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Old 19-02-2015, 09:08   #15
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Re: Aussie Cyclones

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1am position. Should be OK in Mackay now
A couple of points worth considering.

Cyclones that parallel a coastline with the dangerous quadrant moving ahead of the center are generally the most destructive due to the surge.

But, there may be a moderating effect if the cyclone is consistently over land, as it appears it may be.

Anyone have any idea what danger this system poses to the Brisbane area, especially where flooding is a distinct possibility?

Good luck to everyone potentially affected by this cyclone!
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