Probably more like a close reach. We're experiencing the Christmas
Winds right now--low 30's and gusty. Windfinder.com says 4 meter swells. You're likely to see the normal Trades in February (15-18 kts, ENE, E or ESE), though the Christmas Winds (really just a strong High in the mid-Atlantic) can blow just about any time. We had a few days of it in June one year.
Do you really plan to sail directly from St Maarten to Antigua? I think I'd spend a few days in St Martin then go over to St Barth with a lunch/snorkeling stop at Ile Forchue. Then down to Saba
, or St Kitts
for a day or two. The price
you would pay is a 45 nm upwind trip to Antigua from Nevis
, which you can motor-sail in 10 hours or less. Of course, you can skip the islands in between and spend more on Antigua. The bays on the north and east sides are very nice, and a couple of days in Barbuda is fun, too. Very remote
and isolated there, with the most turquoise water
I've ever seen.