Originally Posted by cagney
I don't know where you get the 35+kts from?
As of advisory #16 from 0900Z the max sustained wind is 65mph ~ 56 kts
From the fcst discussion at 0500 AST
- - That little "+" symbol means 35 knots or more - how much more is subject to debate. TS's start at 34kts and work up to 63kts.
- - Don't confuse FORECASTs with reality. They are two very different animals
and rarely are weather
forecasts correct. Currently the winds in Antiqua (V.C. airport) are 7 kts from the WNW. Antigua
is currently 100 miles away from the storm and winds are forecast to peak at 42 mph tonight then fall off Monday to 35mph and 24 mph Monday night. Somebody in Jolly harbor or Falmouth or English
Harbors is concerned with what the conditions will be there rather than 100 or so miles to the north.
- - Active cruisers are concerned with the reality of where they are, not the doom and gloom forecasts in popular favor by TV or other forecasters. Everybody likes to hear "end of the world" forecasts but when it comes to you and your boat's safety
, reality is what counts.
- - Additionally NOAA forecasts are notoriously inaccurate and constantly changing every few hours. As a cruiser you would be well advised to learn how to read pressure charts
and patterns and do your own forecasting. There is a wealth of weather
information available on the internet
and if you spend some time leaning weather history
you will have a much better and less stressful time while cruising.
- - On-line there is Unisys Weather: Hurricane/Tropical Data
which give current
and historical information of all storms since 1851 to date.
- - Also Steve Dashew's Mariner's Weather
Handbook is probably one of the best resources for learning
weather systems for cruising worldwide.
- - Remember out here in the big oceans you are responsible for your own survival not that NOAA guy sitting in a concrete building with no windows. Learn now how to use the sources of weather information available and stop relying only on "big brother government" to tell you whether you will live or die.