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Old 26-10-2011, 06:10   #46
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Re: Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

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Originally Posted by barnakiel View Post
It may have been, or else our instruments are better today and we can detect more?

BTW it was or it was not, do you remember the near panic tone of how the reports were presented? Maybe not all, but definitely some of them.

Or else we can see it this way: because of the AMOUNT of activity, the more activity, the less likely a single event to develop into the real bad thing? (IMHO NOT).

There is the data, there is the report, there are the interpretations.

b.
Well, whatever the tone, the forecasts were basically correct. No one ever predicted how many of these, if any, would make landfall. And, don't forget that Irene did considerable damage. As for the intensity, Katia was a whopper of a storm, she just didn't hit us. That's the luck of the draw, nothing more.
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Old 26-10-2011, 06:25   #47
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Ok i have to say the 24 hour news channels will jump on and hype any story including hurricanes. Although i agree that hurricanes are not trivial and can cause towns to disappear (like Homestead), they luckily do not hit most populated areas. We are facinated because sooner or later they will. In florida our meterologists do a pretty good job of evaluating the threat. The national news ia a whole different game. Just look at the casey anthony circus.
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Old 26-10-2011, 08:50   #48
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Re: Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

You must remember that Cable News exists to sell commercials and will, over a period of time, rot your mind.

It's my understanding that there are eight different computer models generated for hurricane forecast, each of which will predict different results. Super Computers are becoming larger and larger making it possible to include weather data from the Indian Ocean in their calculations.

Prior to weather satellites the only way anyone knew a hurricane was approaching was via a radio call from a ship at sea, or an airplanes chance encounter.
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Old 29-10-2011, 13:57   #49
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Re: Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

all you wanted to know from NOAA:

U.S. Hurricanes: worse than we thought…100 years ago | Watts Up With That?
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Old 29-10-2011, 15:00   #50
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Re: Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

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Bob:

Funny you should bring that up. I was just reading something similar in a book last night
THE BIANKA LOG BLOG: BIANKA'S BOOKSHELF: SAND THE NEVER ENDING STORY
it mentioned scientist found that Hurricanes in the Gulf were much more severe 1000 to 1500 years ago. So maybe things are easing up after all.
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Old 29-10-2011, 15:26   #51
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Re: Hurricane Season 2011 a Bust

I don't think things are easing up, rather I think they're changing.

If we could just stop the universe from expanding and people would stop having babies, maybe things would stay the same.
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