Cruisers Forum
 


Join CruisersForum Today

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread Display Modes
Old 04-10-2016, 14:40   #46
Registered User

Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 318
Latest (5PM) Model Ensemble

Here
__________________

__________________
crabcake is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2016, 17:52   #47
Registered User
 
LEOCAT66's Avatar

Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Slidell, LA. USA
Boat: William Atkin Cutter
Posts: 168
Images: 2
Re: Hurricane Question

If I had a probable three day window from say Bimini, or somewhere in the southern Bahamas, I would head across to Florida, non stop under sail and engine, at least until I cleared the Gulf Stream, to Marathon, cut through to Florida Bay up the West Coast to Shark River and ride it out there deep in the mangroves. Based on the current Matthew track, winds should work for that attempt. A friend of mine did that for Andrew, and came out with minor cosmetic issues.
__________________

__________________
"Slightest Puff Is All It Takes And We Are Gone, Over The Horizon, To Whatever Lies Beyond, Sailing, Sailing On"
LEOCAT66 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2016, 20:07   #48
Senior Cruiser
 
FSMike's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Bahamas/Florida
Boat: Solaris Sunstar 36' catamaran
Posts: 2,650
Images: 5
Re: Hurricane Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by LEOCAT66 View Post
If I had a probable three day window from say Bimini, or somewhere in the southern Bahamas, I would head across to Florida, non stop under sail and engine, at least until I cleared the Gulf Stream, to Marathon, cut through to Florida Bay up the West Coast to Shark River and ride it out there deep in the mangroves. Based on the current Matthew track, winds should work for that attempt. A friend of mine did that for Andrew, and came out with minor cosmetic issues.
Amen. Little Shark River is a traditional hurricane hole for the boats in the keys.
__________________
Sail Fast Live Slow
FSMike is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-10-2016, 20:33   #49
Registered User

Join Date: Apr 2012
Boat: Custom 30
Posts: 152
Images: 9
Re: Hurricane Question

A couple of the latest models show matthew running up the coast of Fl, Ga, and SC, then looping back to the SE, then looping around to Canaveral across to Sarasota, into the Gulf and hitting near Panama City.

One of these is the model used by windyty.com, and it's usually pretty good in this part of the world. Hope not this time.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurrica...w?map=ensmodel


'
__________________
Custom30 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2016, 00:38   #50
Moderator
 
JPA Cate's Avatar

Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: aboard, cruising in Australia
Boat: Sayer 46' Solent rig sloop
Posts: 8,649
Re: Hurricane Question

Remember, 7 days out, even anything over 3 days out is PURELY FANTASY. The computer display makes it look real, but it is only a guess! Hurricane paths are notoriously difficult to predict accurately. Meantime, prepare, for the worst possible scenario. Anything less is a blessing, and learn from the whole thing.

Ann
__________________
Ann & Jim, U.S. s/v Insatiable II, , East Coast of Australia
JPA Cate is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-10-2016, 18:58   #51
Registered User

Join Date: Apr 2012
Boat: Custom 30
Posts: 152
Images: 9
Re: Hurricane Question

The current 5-day fantasy from the NHC shows Matthew making a complete circle back to his current position at Settlement Point, Freeport.




It appears the weather station there at Settlement Point went out a couple of hours ago as the eyewall went by it.

Yikes!


'
__________________
Custom30 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-10-2016, 17:57   #52
Registered User
 
LEOCAT66's Avatar

Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Slidell, LA. USA
Boat: William Atkin Cutter
Posts: 168
Images: 2
Re: Hurricane Question

My GOD, I just keep thinking about that kind of wind working against the Gulf Stream. Have no idea how huge the waves must be. I pray that no one was caught out there trying to run where ever.
__________________
"Slightest Puff Is All It Takes And We Are Gone, Over The Horizon, To Whatever Lies Beyond, Sailing, Sailing On"
LEOCAT66 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-10-2016, 18:15   #53
Registered User

Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 318
Re: Hurricane Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by LEOCAT66 View Post
My GOD, I just keep thinking about that kind of wind working against the Gulf Stream. Have no idea how huge the waves must be. I pray that no one was caught out there trying to run where ever.
Looks like 17' Average - See Here
__________________

__________________
crabcake is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
hurricane

Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Lessons Learned Hurricane Irene- Hurricane Hole Preparation jacob30 Weather | Gear, Reports and Resources 7 21-01-2012 07:51
Hurricane advice links GordMay The Library 2 12-08-2004 07:26
hurricane season in the south pacific? Rdreamz Pacific & South China Sea 4 09-06-2004 08:10
Expect a busy hurricane season GordMay The Library 2 19-05-2004 15:30
Ghost Ships in Hurricane Marty??? bradbarrett General Sailing Forum 8 09-10-2003 09:31


Our Communities

Our communities encompass many different hobbies and interests, but each one is built on friendly, intelligent membership.

» More about our Communities

Automotive Communities

Our Automotive communities encompass many different makes and models. From U.S. domestics to European Saloons.

» More about our Automotive Communities

Marine Communities

Our Marine websites focus on Cruising and Sailing Vessels, including forums and the largest cruising Wiki project on the web today.

» More about our Marine Communities


Copyright 2002- Social Knowledge, LLC All Rights Reserved.

All times are GMT -7. The time now is 23:21.


Google+
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Social Knowledge Networks
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

ShowCase vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.