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Old 23-08-2011, 13:52   #16
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Re: Hurricane Irene

I think its not really a interface issue. One is showing the position of the storm and track but if the cold front pushes down while it tracks up the coast that would take some of the punch out of Irene. The forecasters have backed off the scenario a bit. I would really like to see the Red Ls get off the map and have a big blue H up north start pushing down in the next few days. No expert but that's way I am interpreting the forecasts
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Old 23-08-2011, 14:21   #17
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Re: Hurricane Irene

To those of you on the hard.... REMEMBER TO TIE YOUR STANDS TO EACH OTHER!
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Old 23-08-2011, 14:23   #18
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Re: Hurricane Irene

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Originally Posted by witzgall View Post
HyLyte;

Are you getting your info from Passageweather.com by viewing the wester atlantic GFS models, and stepping through the images? One thing I thought was odd was the barbs did not show hurricane force winds, but show them maxing out at 45kts. Perhaps an interface issue?

Chris
Chris--These are not like the downloads of the GFS Model that one can obtain with some of the dedicated weather modules--for example with MaxSea. On Passageweather generally I look at both the background colors for the estimated range of wind speeds and the number of barbs displayed within that color range. For example, the "Purple" indicates 50+ knots. I assume that four barbs within that color range means 50+40=90 knots. That may or may not be correct but based upon our experience with lower wind ranges (0-20 knots) seems close. Of course, one must also add the speed of advance if east of the eye, or deduct it if west (when north of the equator).

N'any case, I hope you are all "lucky" (and well prepared if you are not).

FWIW...
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Old 23-08-2011, 15:04   #19
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Re: Hurricane Irene

To the OP in Holden beach and I think I saw someone in Topsial I would recommend moving to one of the yards up the Cape Fear river. There are 3-4 yards far enough up to offer good protection. I am in Wilmington marine center one of the best I think but a small yard.

For sailboats I do not recommend hauling unless you have lots of stands and are tied down with helical anchors. I have seen too many sailboats blown off the stands by the wind age of the rigs.

I damn near lost a P-30 once in a cat 2.

Also make sure if you do haul the stands are tied together and not just with that wimpy chain most yards use, get some good ratchet tie downs for trucks.

Good luck to all in the path of this one I will stay aboard if it is less than cat 4.

The fun never stops, and pray for those in the Bahamas now!
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Old 23-08-2011, 15:47   #20
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Re: Hurricane Irene

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Originally Posted by capngeo View Post
To those of you on the hard.... REMEMBER TO TIE YOUR STANDS TO EACH OTHER!
RIGHT. My yard will not haul sailboats for hurricanes, unless the rig is removed.
I saw a Frers 41 mast take out three other boats when it fell over.
Good luck guys, I'm sorry to say, but I'm glad this one is on your side of the stream.
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Old 23-08-2011, 16:37   #21
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Re: Hurricane Irene

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Originally Posted by svHyLyte View Post
Chris--These are not like the downloads of the GFS Model that one can obtain with some of the dedicated weather modules--for example with MaxSea. On Passageweather generally I look at both the background colors for the estimated range of wind speeds and the number of barbs displayed within that color range. For example, the "Purple" indicates 50+ knots. I assume that four barbs within that color range means 50+40=90 knots. That may or may not be correct but based upon our experience with lower wind ranges (0-20 knots) seems close. Of course, one must also add the speed of advance if east of the eye, or deduct it if west (when north of the equator).

N'any case, I hope you are all "lucky" (and well prepared if you are not).

FWIW...
Chris et al--

The foregoing is erronious. I went back and looked the the Passageweather images very closely--zoomed in at 150%--and realized that the "feathers" really are storm "tri-angles" in the higher wind speed fields. A Triangle--shaped like a Burge--signifies 50 knots so that, in the Purple colored areas, the wind speeds are reported at 60 to 75 knots, and in a few cases, at 100 knots, (plus or minus forward motion). My original assumption was close but not correct. Sorry for the bad info...

FWIW...
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Old 23-08-2011, 16:45   #22
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Re: Hurricane Irene

Track Hurricane Irene / Stormpulse / Hurricanes, severe weather, tracking, mapping
try this site,box on the right displays all the predicted storm tracks from various prediction sites,click on forecast models
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Old 23-08-2011, 16:49   #23
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Re: Hurricane Irene

good luck, be safe, tie firmly and hold fast. our turn comes sooner than we want......
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Old 23-08-2011, 16:51   #24
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Re: Hurricane Irene

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Track Hurricane Irene / Stormpulse / Hurricanes, severe weather, tracking, mapping
try this site,box on the right displays all the predicted storm tracks from various prediction sites,click on forecast models

Atoll--Great site!!! Thanx
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Old 23-08-2011, 16:54   #25
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Re: Hurricane Irene

i love stormpulse. is my lifeline when storms are forming .
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Old 23-08-2011, 17:00   #26
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Re: Hurricane Irene

Irene did not do much here in the Dominican Republic. I wish all other places get the same. Take care and prepare
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Old 23-08-2011, 17:06   #27
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Re: Hurricane Irene

I just stopped taking my sails off and put my new 3-stranders back down below after the latest forecast. Whew!!!
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Old 23-08-2011, 18:21   #28
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Re: Hurricane Irene

I consulted with my panel of ancient mariners over at the Handlebar here in Bofort, NC this afternoon. One and all thought it would continue to creep East and away from us. There was alcohol involved. No hotlinks provided. These guys have worked this water for 50 years. FWIW
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Old 23-08-2011, 18:27   #29
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I appreciate all the advice...this is our first year on a sailboat and our first storm. We are at Herrington bay, about halfway up the Chesapeake Bay. Any recommendations?
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Old 23-08-2011, 18:34   #30
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Herrington got hit pretty hard during Isabel. Rhodes river, west river by harges, and tent house creek r pretty good spots. Need good ground tackle.
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