We escaped the worst in Jolly harbour, Dominica
not so well !
As it was my first experience of a Tropical storm ( Danny down graded before it got to Antigua) I was tracking Erica,
what was very surprising was the accuracy of the satellite
, IR and Guadeloupe Radar
and how incorrect the forecast
and position was reported by various forecasters, one still stating that it was moving NW but in fact it moved west for 16 hrs before his report.
was in line for a big down pour from the satellite
imagery for 6 hrs before it hit
was the worst - being so far out on its timings and velocity that I will never use it again, it has not been more than 50% correct since I registered in Jan this year!
Monte's link he sent me to tropical tidbits was very good and explained his logic on variables very well.
Reading the skies was not beneficial , it doesn't do the same as the fronts that I seemed to read well in the UK,
The rain, I could read but the wind , it gave little clue without a constant layer of Stratus that obscured any features that normally preceded it in the uk, I have a lot to learn !
Hope the guys in the greater Antilles don't get Erika's proposed strengthening, good luck to you guys up north
Maybe I will, once I have been here 40+ years, as I seemed to have a sixth sense of front in the English Channel
Sent from my iPad
.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!