Cruisers Forum
 


Join CruisersForum Today

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Rate Thread Display Modes
Old 21-08-2015, 15:24   #16
Registered User
 
S/V Alchemy's Avatar

Join Date: May 2008
Location: Toronto
Boat: Custom 41' Steel Pilothouse Cutter
Posts: 4,817
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
Originally Posted by poiu View Post
Danny is now upgraded to cat 2, yet the forecast wind at landfall in Antigua is downgraded to storm force. Doesn't sound right to me. I'd plan for worse.
I was at Jolly last October 13 on an RYA course. That was supposed to be 45 knots. Hurricane Gonzalo clocked 88 mph where we were. The world encompassed: Skipper by name, windy by nature

So good luck on Antigua! Hell of a way to break a dry spell.
__________________

__________________
Can't sleep? Read www.alchemy2009.blogspot.com for fast relief. Can't read? Avoid www.volumesofsalt.blogspot.com, because it's just personal reviews of sea books.
S/V Alchemy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21-08-2015, 16:19   #17
Registered User

Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Caribbean
Boat: Oyster 66
Posts: 1,101
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
Originally Posted by S/V Alchemy View Post
I was at Jolly last October 13 on an RYA course. That was supposed to be 45 knots. Hurricane Gonzalo clocked 88 mph where we were. The world encompassed: Skipper by name, windy by nature

So good luck on Antigua! Hell of a way to break a dry spell.
Yes indeed. I was watching that one grow. I heard 95kt was recorded in N. Sound until the anemometer broke off. Not bad for a TS. It went on to do much worse in St Martin.
__________________

poiu is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 07:28   #18
Registered User
 
Hoofsmit's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: cornwall uk
Posts: 574
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Well ... Here we go ! Our first hurricane here !
I just hope it's gonna have its ass wiped by the trough north of it, but it looks like we will have a drafty start to the week ! The models are fairly constant that we will get some of it
At least we have had more than enough time to prep, It seems jolly harbour is taking this a bit more seriously as a few got caught out with Gonzalo changing track , We will see if it's up to scratch !
Good luck to those with vessels in the marina and on the hard, thankfully mine is strapped on a lift between four concrete piles
Any other members here ?




Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Hoofsmit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 07:31   #19
Eternal Member
 
monte's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Australia
Boat: Lagoon 400
Posts: 3,650
Images: 1
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Ah those lifts in jolly harbour are cool!
monte is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 07:41   #20
Registered User
 
Hoofsmit's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: cornwall uk
Posts: 574
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Yep, they sure are Monte
There is a Belize on one on the south side and a 60ft Sunseeker on another, some serious kit !
I think Antigua imports must have a good deal on ratchet straps - orange and blue every where !


Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Hoofsmit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 07:46   #21
Now on the Dark Side: Stink Potter.
 
CSY Man's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Ft. Lauderdale
Boat: 2001 Albin 28TE.
Posts: 3,538
Images: 116
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

For those who store your sailboats on land:
After Hurricane Wilma in 2005 I went to some the boat yards in Fort Lauderdale and noted that quite a few of the sailbots stored on the hard had broken masts.
The boats were upright with double jack stands, but the mast buckled and broke 90 degrees or more when the wind hit from the side.
A sailboat in the water, even when tied to the dock, heels oves to the side to release the sideways strain on the mast, hence the masts only break when boats are in a cradle or on stands.
Wilma was pretty violent and kept me busy running my Absent Owner Business during the entire storm: Had 6 boats I dealt with, from a 92' mega yacht to a 33' CSY.
All boats in the water, no damage expect cosmetic from rubbing into exploded fenders or dock pilings without rub-guards.
__________________
Life is sexually transmitted
CSY Man is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 07:53   #22
Registered User

Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Caribbean
Boat: Oyster 66
Posts: 1,101
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoofsmit View Post
Well ... Here we go ! Our first hurricane here !
I just hope it's gonna have its ass wiped by the trough north of it, but it looks like we will have a drafty start to the week ! The models are fairly constant that we will get some of it
At least we have had more than enough time to prep, It seems jolly harbour is taking this a bit more seriously as a few got caught out with Gonzalo changing track , We will see if it's up to scratch !
Good luck to those with vessels in the marina and on the hard, thankfully mine is strapped on a lift between four concrete piles
Any other members here ?

Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
There was a good video in the blog linked to in the post from S/V Alchemy above. In case you missed it here it is:

It shows a boat in a boat lift next to a boat on a finger dock. The boat lift boat is doing better, but still struggling. Amazing how much water movement there is for just a fetch measured in metres.

It might help you work out how to defend your boat.
poiu is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 10:26   #23
CF Adviser
Moderator Emeritus
 
Hud3's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Virginia
Boat: Island Packet 380, now sold
Posts: 8,934
Images: 54
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

The NHC is still saying that Danny will weaken to a tropical storm before reaching the islands, but you'll still be looking at 50-55 knot winds.
__________________
Hud
Hud3 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 10:50   #24
Registered User
 
neilpride's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: in the world
Boat: csy 44 tall rig.
Posts: 3,102
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSY Man View Post
For those who store your sailboats on land:
After Hurricane Wilma in 2005 I went to some the boat yards in Fort Lauderdale and noted that quite a few of the sailbots stored on the hard had broken masts.
The boats were upright with double jack stands, but the mast buckled and broke 90 degrees or more when the wind hit from the side.
A sailboat in the water, even when tied to the dock, heels oves to the side to release the sideways strain on the mast, hence the masts only break when boats are in a cradle or on stands.
Wilma was pretty violent and kept me busy running my Absent Owner Business during the entire storm: Had 6 boats I dealt with, from a 92' mega yacht to a 33' CSY.
All boats in the water, no damage expect cosmetic from rubbing into exploded fenders or dock pilings without rub-guards.

Living in St Marteen for few years show me how wrong is to leave the boat in the wŠter, in the boatyard at least you can expect a big bill in repairs, in the wŠter is a write off....
neilpride is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 14:04   #25
Registered User
 
Hoofsmit's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: cornwall uk
Posts: 574
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Poiu
Thanks for the link, I had seen it before, but it is a good reminder when sitting on my deck sipping a 15 year old rum in the bright sunshine this afternoon !

All I can say is the cleats won't take any more lines, it's as good as I can get it ! Fingers crossed



Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Hoofsmit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 16:22   #26
Registered User
 
Hoofsmit's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: cornwall uk
Posts: 574
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Latest is Danny has now 75mph sustained, moving at 14mph, by the NOAA coordinates, it is about 550 statute miles from my back door as I write this !
So , the worst should be with me about 0600hrs Monday morning, but it is suggested that we will start to experience the first effects at around 60 miles before the eye, so around 0200hrs
Feel free to correct my maths ! Or those with some experience of these things let me know if you think differently !



Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Hoofsmit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 17:16   #27
Registered User
 
neilpride's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: in the world
Boat: csy 44 tall rig.
Posts: 3,102
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Downgrade to TS, and we have even time to see Dany boy as a strong tropical wave, wind shear and the Dusty saharan air layer is taking a toll in Dany.
neilpride is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 19:03   #28
Registered User
 
Hoofsmit's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: cornwall uk
Posts: 574
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Neilpride, one model has suggested that it will be down to 45knts by the time it hits, but that means possible gusts to 75knts , Jolly is at the bottom of a valley which often sees increased funnelling if the wind direction is a few clicks north of an easterly, which it normally is !
Since the local electricity supplier is likely to cut the grid prior to anything that might cause power cable damage, and thus the internet will be out for those like me that rely on the cell network for internet access , we will not know whether we are getting the top or bottom of Danny
So being a newbie to such weather systems, I think I will prepare for the worst, but that does not belittle your post, thanks for the information


Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Hoofsmit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 20:01   #29
Now on the Dark Side: Stink Potter.
 
CSY Man's Avatar

Cruisers Forum Supporter

Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Ft. Lauderdale
Boat: 2001 Albin 28TE.
Posts: 3,538
Images: 116
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
. Living in St Marteen for few years show me how wrong is to leave the boat in the wŠter, in the boatyard at least you can expect a big bill in repairs, in the wŠter is a write off....
Yeah, there is no right answer, a boat can get wrecked or damaged in a hurricane whether you are on land or in the drink.
Hurricane Holes may help if not crowed, but even if your boat is snug and secure, some other boat may break loose and wreck your own boat, seen that too.
__________________
Life is sexually transmitted
CSY Man is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 22-08-2015, 20:07   #30
Registered User
 
neilpride's Avatar

Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: in the world
Boat: csy 44 tall rig.
Posts: 3,102
Re: Hurricane Danny - NE Caribbean

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoofsmit View Post
Neilpride, one model has suggested that it will be down to 45knts by the time it hits, but that means possible gusts to 75knts , Jolly is at the bottom of a valley which often sees increased funnelling if the wind direction is a few clicks north of an easterly, which it normally is !
Since the local electricity supplier is likely to cut the grid prior to anything that might cause power cable damage, and thus the internet will be out for those like me that rely on the cell network for internet access , we will not know whether we are getting the top or bottom of Danny
So being a newbie to such weather systems, I think I will prepare for the worst, but that does not belittle your post, thanks for the information


Sent from my iPad.......i apologise for the auto corrects !!!
Yes yes, be ready for the worst, hope for the best is my motto, sustained winds of 50 knts now and we expect it to impact st marteen sunday night monday morning , still plenty of time for another 10 or 20 knts drop in the scale and we can have a nice cloudy windy day with plenty of rain, its coming straight to us, st barth , antigua , st marteen, i feel good since yesterday is a cat3 and after few bad canes here,, 50 knts sounds beautiful,,,even a minimal cat 1 is ok for me.

Is to sad to see that some cruisers want to learn the hard way, boats pilled in the buoys moorings with the sails in place, furlers, mainsails, windgenerators , etc... Marigot still with few boats at anchor, my god.. anyway have a safe sunday monday.... Greetings from St Marteen..
__________________

neilpride is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
Caribbean, hurricane, rib

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
For Sale: Plans for Danny Greene's Chameleon Dinghy sully75 Classifieds Archive 3 02-01-2014 14:41
Caribbean Hurricane Season Insurance YACHT TARENTELA Atlantic & the Caribbean 26 09-09-2013 01:52
Lessons Learned Hurricane Irene- Hurricane Hole Preparation jacob30 Weather | Gear, Reports and Resources 7 21-01-2012 07:51
How Far South is Hurricane-Safe in Caribbean ? MarkJ Atlantic & the Caribbean 62 18-06-2010 11:14
Caribbean Hurricane Season Bev & Bill General Sailing Forum 2 11-04-2006 11:55



Copyright 2002- Social Knowledge, LLC All Rights Reserved.

All times are GMT -7. The time now is 13:46.


Google+
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Social Knowledge Networks
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

ShowCase vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.