During the Northeaster of 1993, when the rivers did indeed come several blocks inland on the south tip of Manhattan and (shhh!) the subway system was "don't bet on it" close to flooding out completely, I suggested to someone that we start a consulting business out of the back of an armoured amphibian. First, so we could get in and out, second, because parking down there is a bitch and if the meter maids can't reach high enough to see your windshield wipers, you'd get fewer tickets.<G>
So yes, I'm aware of the flooding and as the FDR submerges from global warming...it will be interesting to see what has to be done to save "Venice on the Hudson". Not to worry, Arthur Imperiale and the alleged NJ Mob
won't allow no stinkin' river to cover THEIR property.<G>
But, the Great Canary Island Tsunami....I don't know, I think that's more a boogeyman story. Possible? Yes. Probable? Not from what I've heard about it. More likely I'll be killed by a drunk driver, or a commercial
flight that some cheap
bastard didn't bother maintaining. (Like the explosive center fuel tanks
that downed TWA800, and 24 other aircraft in the prior two years, and STILL have not been remedied in our airlines.)
Islands near Africa
going boom? Very low down my list of worries. Not being allowed to shoot back at some bad man on a plane or train? Now, THAT'S a real problem.
OEM is between a rock and a hard place. Ignoring the fact that they've moved from the "sky bunker" in WTC7 to a pier over the Hudson
and a good flood would probably take them sailing away. This past summer NYC and several response agencies conducted hurricane drills, to culminate in a citywide drill. The citywide was cancelled on very short notice--because the new bosses have been made aware that the old plans simply wouldn't and couldn't work and it would be a waste of money
The plans now are to establish some 528(?) shelters as needed. There are no personnel to staff and man that many or anything close to it, but that's another matter. NYC uses the NYC schools for this purpose. We're supposed to be using the NYS Militia Armories as well, but armories cost money
, the guys in the few remaining think they are Regular Army (they're State Guard and National Guard, a dual role here), and the city has converted some to homeless shelters, others to auction
houses, sold more to real estate developers. That's cheaper than spending money to maintain them, and besides, most of the schools are built pretty well actually.
Anyway...there are some real issues here, like evacuating the elderly and infirm from the high-rises in the Rockaways. The bottom line is that even with a 48-hour confirmed storm track, there are not enough medevac resources in the nation
to get those people out to safety
by any conventional means. A Cat3 or higher means there simply will be no choice except to abandon a large number of people in the low-lying areas, it is not physically possible to evacuate or shelter them.
Ain't a pretty picture. Ain't publicized much, because of that. But NYC-OEM is aware of it, and supposedly trying to figure out a better policy. Not an easy task.
It would probably have to center on abandoning the infirm and conducting a "Berlin airlift" out of JFK and LGA, and using AmTrak for caravans (a lesson FEMA admits to learning
from Katrina) because our highways are running at literally 2x the maximum safe capacity even on weekend early mornings. (They can run at something like 6x-8x safe capacity if they slow down to a crawl, but as the evacs in Texas
showed, that's not going anywhere.)