I can add a couple of simple points from my own experience and perspective, but can't really back it up with exact statistics or facts directly related to your situation.
But I would say:
- You have a high performance
boat. For it's time your generation of Outremer is, relatively speaking, somewhat of a
racing boat, with an
interior. It's quite far away from many of the normal cruising boats here.
-
Deck gear wears out on these types of boats, so after 10 years or so (and how many miles at sea?) it doesn't seem entirely unreasonable that
parts need replacing, even if it is not the normal understanding for some other cruisers or cruising boats here.
- Rightly or wrongly age wise, the shackles are showing clear signs of degradation. On a more performance orientated boat this needs more monitoring than an average cruising boat where there may be an expectation that such metal
parts should last forever (even if this might be unrealistic too).
- I'm a Harken fan in general, and from a performance background. And what I will add is anecdotal, but from personal
racing experience, not hearsay from the yachtie bar.
- In the past I often did not have confidence in off the shelf Harken shackles. I felt that the correctly specified blocks were up to the task (and they never failed), but that the accompanying shackles were not, and I normally replaced all the Harken supplied shackles with Wichard HR shackles.
- Thereafter we didn't have any shackle failures, but signs of degradation over time could still sometimes be seen in some specific and very high load locations. And this was most often in a metal to metal connection. Adding a 'soft' intermediate part normally resolved this. So you could somehow say that this was 'chafe' related.
NB: when I state 'correctly sized' I am speaking from a performance point of view and this suggests something lighter than 'cruising sized' which may have the expectation of never degrading or wearing out.
NB: this was at a time when soft shackles were coming into use (on racing boats) but entirely metal free connections weren't completely common yet.
Now there are many more options to help resolve these types of problems.
Just my 2 cents