I can't defend the sailor here so please don't take this as such. But as a time line for the storm consider...
Tuesday night the weather
mentioned that there was a low in the Gulf just off shore of Galveston. It was not expected to form a depression.
Wednesday morning's weather
forcast was for a rainy commute. Still no mention of a tropical storm forming.
Wednesday noon, tropical depression.
Wednesday 2 pm, named tropical storm. It was expected to hit Galveston by early that evening. A bunch of us head
to the bay to tie off our boats.
Wednesday 4 pm, still a minor storm, no real wind
expected, mostly a rain event.
Wednesday evening news, the eye of the storm was passing over Galveston bay and Houston
by midnight, winds 45 mph.
Thursday 2 am (yes I get up at two), Storm is now a hurricane
located just south of High Island about forty miles as the crow flies off its projected track.
Thursday 2:30 am, Humberto hits High Island.
Thrusday 5 am, Humberto on the Texas/Lousiana border 90 miles away from where it was predicted to come ashore (Taylors Bayou).
Cloudy day to Hurricane
in less than 24 hours. The last time something like this happened Tropical Storm Alison forms in the gulf overnight and dumped 30+ inches of rain in my back yard in one day and 24 the next. I quit emptying the gauge both days.
I have no idea why this guy didn't get out of the way. But the wife and I were discussing all of the tows in the ICW
between the Calcasieu and High Island that got caught in the mess. I don't blame the weather service
but I don't trust tropical forcasting either. For me the lesson in Humberto is in how fast this stuff can come up.